TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$481,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$478,753

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,300 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6813…b358backed Yes16c77,789$12,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,311.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes14c60,000$8,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,613.031,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes14c15,318$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.5724146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes16c14,316$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.956046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21a2…5f83backed Yes14c10,437$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.23425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Yes16c9,957$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.172433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes16c8,761$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3605324.5%13 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b01…6977backed Yes1c7,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes14c5,205$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.741,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes14c5,050$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70768026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes10c4,113$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.771,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac71…b290backed Yes14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5602646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7ab…f587backed Yes15c3,120$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42020448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4207754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42015944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes12c2,999$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.8825836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ba…d5f9backed Yes15c2,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes14c2,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35015952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes12c2,133$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.876,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb763…247dbacked Yes14c2,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+93.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x980d…7763backed Yes11c2,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102119%4 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Yes15c1,998$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes7c1,846$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.561,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes16c1,813$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.591,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31f6…442abacked Yes16c1,572$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes11c1,519$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8616232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes14c1,469$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.881,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd6…8577backed Yes15c1,434$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes15c1,311$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6325551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes14c1,233$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6256453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes16c1,229$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x937a…dbc8backed Yes15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Yes14c1,074$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.35232.7%17 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+210.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes8c1,065$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8727141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes10c1,035$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9742324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ed5…753dbacked Yes14c1,010$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.961225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a6…2a95backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407844.9%35 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc90…3b32backed Yes15c999.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes14c974.04$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.3715748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xadf1…547ebacked Yes15c953.33$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1432250%11 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cdf…9ecebacked Yes12c850.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes6c800$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4853134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Yes15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12029427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5c…718dbacked Yes16c781.79$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.23520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36aa…6dcebacked Yes15c780$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9355…10e8backed Yes14c770.84$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Yes16c750$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes14c738.42$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3826229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6050…6d3ebacked Yes14c718.86$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes15c686.67$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036233.9%21 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Yes15c678.53$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.78771.4%5 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.51per pick20cpaid+287.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7edd…21f8backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes15c650$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.514342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd2…4c71backed Yes15c608.13$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.221952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes15c596.43$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3222229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6980…2194backed Yes15c550$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes16c531.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x510e…641fbacked Yes15c492.93$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes15c480$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727326%19 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacc5…9436backed Yes15c378.64$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes15c375.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.841,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes15c372.4$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.863531.4%11 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes15c350$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.57830.8%24 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes9c328.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.613240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2386…1a2dbacked Yes15c320$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Yes9c316.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306731.3%21 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes13c315.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9679639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6d…7dadbacked Yes16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick19cpaid+102.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes9c311.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2835347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57c6…4d3fbacked Yes16c303.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Yes14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Yes14c299.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.995149%25 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe833…1723backed Yes7c288.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb670…4285backed Yes14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfa5…12e5backed Yes14c276.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c01…e84ebacked Yes15c259.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1035743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes14c248.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.819849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes12c231.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276420.3%13 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x928d…52a7backed Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes15c213.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210626.4%28 W · 78 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd45…3dd4backed Yes6c209.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.632832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3223531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109134.1%31 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc579…21cdbacked Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1d…c541backed Yes15c197.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.631030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8324…57fdbacked Yes14c180$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21346.2%6 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick23cpaid+90.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x141f…9e9bbacked Yes14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes10c174.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.251546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.