TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7c1…2dbc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.25
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$121
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+163.9%+$139.75
Will Everton vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.25
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$96
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Bournemouth vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$65
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$30
Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$91
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.3
Will Benfica win on 2025-08-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.6
Will FC Kopenhagen vs. FC Basel end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Qarabag win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.6
Will FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will FC Kairat Almaty win on 2025-08-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Celtic win on 2025-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$217.5
Will FC Basel win on 2025-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$65
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Benfica win on 2025-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$96
Will FK Crvena Zvezda vs. Pafos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick24cpaid+73.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$45.57
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+270.4%+$168.51
Will Sevilla vs. Getafe end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.27
Will Espanyol win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$34.96
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$32.73
Will Elche CF win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.84
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+300%+$75
Will Mallorca vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+400%+$40
Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.25
Will Real Betis vs. Alaves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.07
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$604Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$604.1
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.72
Russia announces air truce by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$279
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$71
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$193.6
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$127.11
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+129.9%+$403.95
Will Russia capture Udachne by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$78.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$668.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.