La Liga · resolved market
Will Espanyol win on 2025-08-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ab581add80902a9b0cd1b999bc0aa4ccfa26dc0acef1346b604d43541a4e935
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 59c | 5,201$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.2 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Yes | 20c | 3,161$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 20c | 1,681$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.18 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 67c | 1,125$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.02 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 19c | 1,121$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 41c | 932.92$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.78 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 70c | 747.05$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.59 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 73c | 684.17$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.17 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 20c | 664.05$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.24 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 79c | 513.81$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 20c | 497.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 22c | 452.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes | 35c | 431.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 38c | 347.65$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.44 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Yes | 21c | 285.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 47c | 250$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.61 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…8771backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 47c | 213.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 28c | 200$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes | 51c | 197.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed No | 58c | 159.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 42c | 129.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 57c | 118$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b4…786dbacked Yes | 51c | 105.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 85.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 18c | 85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 80c | 77.24$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5df…fed4backed Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 19c | 66.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a85…1811backed Yes | 15c | 65.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 23c | 61.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 48c | 58.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…443bbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…cad3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…a0e4backed Yes | 43c | 46.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed No | 56c | 42.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 49c | 42.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 54c | 35.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 55c | 32.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…0d12backed Yes | 80c | 30.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Yes | 60c | 29.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 77c | 28.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…2763backed Yes | 63c | 22.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-08-24?this page
- Will Real Sociedad vs. Espanyol end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-08-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.