TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4a26…7300

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
240
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Mls, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 53 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST12342.3%52 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+170.3%+$25.54
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.79
Manchester City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12
West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$43.84
Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.53
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$12.4
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50.58
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+114.5%+$25.54
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$22.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$36.67
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+156.4%+$21.9
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+104.8%+$20.34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+91.1%+$68.33
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+113.3%+$49.87
Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.6
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Girona win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Osasuna win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$9.81
Will Espanyol win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$18.86
Will Levante UD win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+114.8%+$17.22
Will Real Madrid beat Athletic Club?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+236%+$60.8
Will Club Brugge KV vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$7.91
Will PSG win in regulation?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.02
Monterrey vs. Inter Milan: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.2
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$46.96
Champions League Final: Red card issued?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$21.64
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$24.03
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$8.24
Will Arsenal vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
All 20 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$21.82
Tigres de la UANL vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11.25
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+127.3%+$19.09
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14
CD Guadalajara vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will FC Juárez win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$13.45
Will Club Tijuana win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$12.38
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2025-10-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.64
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$14.09
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16
AS Roma vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$13.63
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+127.3%+$19.09
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+233.3%+$25.67
Will Napoli win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+103%+$28.84
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+163.2%+$24.47
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+203%+$30.45
Toulouse FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+100%+$14
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+27.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.