TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes56c6,200$3,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,72824145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No44c6,098$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.657762.3%48 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed No41c4,612$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.795961%36 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes59c3,969$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.483842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No47c1,730$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.0729545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked No42c1,329$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.445054%27 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1126…6e7abacked Yes59c1,186$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.43633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No50c1,093$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.385655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes53c940.83$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.8313045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes49c928.18$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.18540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No43c760.52$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.735054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed No56c579.04$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3261957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No41c499.95$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.983548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes50c472.53$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.534242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c464.51$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.533,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes58c431.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.034334.9%15 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes59c376.97$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.971421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Yes55c362.2$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.672454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes56c350.03$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2622448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes60c301.43$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4311457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5df…fed4backed Yes57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1291526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes63c256.4$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.86538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes58c230.47$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.786246.8%29 W · 33 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x146a…36fabacked Yes54c222.87$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.87944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No41c220.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.47653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x697a…d5aabacked Yes49c204.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8220255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef9f…425ebacked Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No42c199.96$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.188939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Yes75c192.87$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.052479.2%19 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes63c182$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4840033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c7e…3748backed Yes58c173$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.66683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+94.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6be4…6ff8backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed Yes59c135.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.591560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9be…27bcbacked Yes50c134.4$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes59c127.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.125646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No40c120.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.188521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No50c117.85$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.617155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d9…98f1backed Yes57c105.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.26475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+89.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes49c102.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.736144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425028%14 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143423.5%8 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425655.4%31 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb36c…8715backed No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4080%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No41c99.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.991850%9 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Yes57c99.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.991782.4%14 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Yes59c98.31$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.316344.4%28 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed No41c94$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.542458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No43c89.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9143255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.722653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751675%12 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6103…3b6bbacked No42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf566…bbb9backed No41c79.95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.781361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+105.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No41c69.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0110248%49 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes53c66.89$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.751330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6780…82dfbacked No43c60.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb039…c145backed Yes52c59.85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No41c58.95$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.175616.1%9 W · 47 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4aa…6c05backed No43c56.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe649…5f89backed No47c55.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No41c52.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5414348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No44c51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2729053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1797…baa7backed Yes47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77a1…489bbacked No43c49.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x358a…6d19backed Yes58c48.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e19…dbf2backed Yes56c46.88$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb369…3d39backed No44c46.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x878d…c009backed No43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa827…5efbbacked Yes56c46.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf2…960dbacked Yes57c45.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e9d…fc59backed Yes59c45.29$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x564d…aef1backed Yes59c44.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3963…6241backed Yes58c44.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1476…99aabacked No44c44.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd363…e6d1backed Yes56c44.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cef…493cbacked Yes58c44.29$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b3a…e780backed Yes58c44.16$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x525b…3e1fbacked Yes57c42.53$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc818…30b9backed No43c42.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe79d…650dbacked No44c41.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e89…edfcbacked Yes59c40.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70e4…19c1backed Yes57c40.32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.343100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes56c39.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2411261.6%69 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd31f…094cbacked Yes58c36.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed No42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ab2…e698backed Yes56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf7…7bdebacked No44c34.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed6…a111backed Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.911851.7%61 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd970…c9efbacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a0…e8b9backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0474…9255backed No50c33.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e2…253bbacked Yes52c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8103…78e8backed Yes57c28.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.073100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.