TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1797…baa7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.25
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs GUN5 Esports (BO3)backed GUN5 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
BLAST Open: fnatic vs. M80backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
BLAST Open: Vitality vs. FaZebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.04
BLAST Open: Flyquest vs. G2backed Flyquest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.91
BLAST Open: Liquid vs. Spiritbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.4
BLAST Open: M80 vs. Natus Vincerebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
BLAST Open: fnatic vs. GamerLegionbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,056
BLAST Open: Spirit vs. FURIAbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+292.5%+$1,608.72
BLAST Open: FaZe vs. Natus Vincerebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+73%+$211
BLAST Open: Vitality vs. GamerLegionbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$232.8
BLAST Open: M80 vs. Virtus.probacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+116.5%+$214.55
BLAST Open: ECSTATIC vs. fnaticbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$89.3
BLAST Open: FURIA vs. Legacybacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.36
Will The MongolZ win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+26.3%+$254.97
EWC Cs2: Falcons vs. Aurorabacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+93.8%+$241.87
EWC Cs2: The MongolZ vs. Vitalitybacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$31.6
EWC Cs2: Falcons vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$219.46
IEM Cologne: Spirit vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.15
IEM Cologne: G2 vs. Vitalitybacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.64
IEM Cologne: GamerLegion vs. 3DMAXbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. BIGbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.66
Will The MongolZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will MOUZ win the IEM Dallas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.92
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-85.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.5
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.65
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.72
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 4 and 6 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.87
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.51
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.75
Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 10 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Space — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+76.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$57
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+397.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Korea missile test by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+397.7%+$43.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: BDS vs. Team Hereticsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+36.6%+$48.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.