Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: BDS vs. Team Heretics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90074987371ebc9c6336a760520aedbd308fc039ecedc13779917ab9cc0d40af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Hereticsof BDS, Team Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80c5…65d1backed BDS | 62c | 15,000$9,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,369.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Heretics | 38c | 4,263$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.83 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Team Heretics | 38c | 3,443$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.09 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed BDS | 63c | 3,153$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Heretics | 38c | 3,028$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.45 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Heretics | 37c | 3,000$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.99 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed BDS | 62c | 2,794$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.28 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Heretics | 77c | 2,598$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.55 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed Team Heretics | 37c | 2,510$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.56 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Team Heretics | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed BDS | 26c | 1,735$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.2 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Heretics | 38c | 1,687$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.66 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Team Heretics | 38c | 1,267$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.21 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Heretics | 38c | 1,175$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.5 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Team Heretics | 39c | 994.87$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.87 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked BDS | 64c | 966.64$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.65 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Heretics | 37c | 951.41$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.91 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed BDS | 62c | 888.98$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.17 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Heretics | 37c | 854.17$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.13 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked BDS | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed BDS | 57c | 661.07$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.8 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Team Heretics | 37c | 609.59$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.04 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…3f79backed BDS | 63c | 537.86$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Heretics | 73c | 533$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.39 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Team Heretics | 68c | 504.44$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Team Heretics | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed BDS | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 87 | 69%60 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Team Heretics | 68c | 402.69$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.39 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Team Heretics | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +12.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed BDS | 60c | 349.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.49 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Team Heretics | 55c | 331.49$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked BDS | 36c | 308.59$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked BDS | 33c | 299.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Team Heretics | 39c | 296.67$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.97 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed BDS | 35c | 280$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Team Heretics | 39c | 220$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed BDS | 30c | 210$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked BDS | 63c | 204.76$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…baa7backed Team Heretics | 73c | 180$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed BDS | 18c | 171.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Team Heretics | 72c | 162.68$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed BDS | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Team Heretics | 66c | 132.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd20…d348backed Team Heretics | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked BDS | 56c | 127$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked BDS | 61c | 118.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Team Heretics | 40c | 117$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked BDS | 63c | 111.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 131 | 64.9%85 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…1d59backed BDS | 58c | 102.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed Team Heretics | 58c | 102.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Team Heretics | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed BDS | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked BDS | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Team Heretics | 37c | 99.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Team Heretics | 79c | 83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Team Heretics | 39c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Heretics | 45c | 59.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed BDS | 53c | 58.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Team Heretics | 69c | 54.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…4e87backed Team Heretics | 67c | 51.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Team Heretics | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 386 | 24.4%94 W · 292 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8128backed Team Heretics | 72c | 43.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b3cbacked BDS | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed BDS | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Team Heretics | 37c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed BDS | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BDS | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11dd…1bafbacked Team Heretics | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Team Heretics | 62c | 24.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…9705backed BDS | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.