TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d12…bdf6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
256
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT9047.8%43 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.21
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$96
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.49
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$231
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$227.6
LoL: SK Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$568.89
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$48.41
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,871Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,871.09
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$230.51
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$658.03
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO1)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+62.5%+$145.39
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25.83
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+60.9%+$108.03
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$95.36
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO1)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$166.36
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$434.9
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO1)backed Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$271.27
LoL: Los Ratones vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+45.3%+$315.08
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.49
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$310.2
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$188.49
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.1
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$28
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,452.21
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,781Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.4%+$559.59
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$522.22
Will Donald Trump say "pardon" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,674Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+38.5%+$644.88
Will Donald Trump say "Turkey" or "Erdogan" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,776Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+26.8%+$476.57
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+59.2%+$295.83
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$237.74
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$480
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+118.9%+$765.93
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+400%+$80
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 11? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$32.49
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$859Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$859.4
Israel strikes Yemen by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.42
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
US x Iran ceasefire before July? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.89
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$818Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+76.4%+$624.91
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+77.8%+$76.09
Israel strike on Iran on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.19
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$128.06
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$82.39
Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.52
Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 20+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.37
Will Powell say "Recession" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.69
Will Powell say "Anchored" 3+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$61.34
Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$21.47
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$185.39
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.47
Will Powell say "Comment" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.89
Will Powell say "Median" during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.3
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.01
Will Powell say "Obvious" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$184.5
Will Powell say "Spike" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+77.3%+$15.3
Will Powell say "Employment / Unemployment" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$57
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+41.2%+$29.2
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$178
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.58
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.83
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+25.5%+$68.58
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$762.58
Will Trump say "Crime" 10+ times during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$49.98
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+117%+$29.65
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.7
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+67.6%+$95.02
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.51
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.47
Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will anyone say "COVID" during the 2nd Democratic Mayoral Primary on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+25%+$10
Trump x Elon talk by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+900%+$90
Will Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.2
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-39.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$154.56
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$963Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$963.2
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,005.7
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$279.76
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$34.72
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+32.8%+$20.07
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25.1%+$117.08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Trump say "Suit" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$18.9
Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
Trump x Putin talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Trump x Zelenskyy talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$18.02
All 17 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$230.04
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.01
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+87%+$191.77
Will Elon Musk say "Tesla" during the August 6 AMA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.74
Will Elon Musk say "Trump" during the August 6 AMA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$139.2
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $350b and $360b on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.9
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 12 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,033.42
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$72.59
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Tate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$53.27
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5.11
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25.3%+$35.64
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25%+$23.8
Will Jake Paul win via Decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27.3
Will Anthony Joshua win in Round 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$15.39
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,031.45
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$151.15
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 3, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+192.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal (To Advance)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+485.3%+$755.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$44.01
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.06
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+156.1%+$283.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.94
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+162.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+162.8%+$65.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$77.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
5kt meteor strike in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+39.9%+$228
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$23.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 87-88°F on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$180.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.