TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Boxing · resolved market

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$765,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$694,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $765,007 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Boxing
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8741…e228backed Yes63c107,904$68,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,454.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed No13c48,436$6,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,535.11643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…6dd0backed No8c32,417$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,486.9240%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed No51c23,496$12,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,068.431225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-64.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked No46c20,573$9,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,538.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4728…6426backed No46c16,506$7,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,524.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf125…1bd6backed No19c11,850$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,251.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No3c10,821$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.85458.9%4 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed Yes45c10,014$4,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,478.991656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+50%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf052…1eadbacked Yes46c9,636$4,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,228.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x387e…56a5backed No17c9,166$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.341428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde36…0622backed No10c8,851$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.6780%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe379…3c98backed Yes75c8,132$6,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.33977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+48.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47f5…934dbacked No6c7,700$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.81100%0 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Yes56c7,618$4,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,375.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed No45c7,468$3,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,387.69728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid+59.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad8…93b6backed No11c7,110$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.451030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed No19c6,713$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.1757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No15c6,358$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.282020%4 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No13c5,318$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.19825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No22c5,268$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed No20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8383…cb59backed No11c5,000$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53740%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f6b…267ebacked No2c4,911$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.28728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-56.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No7c4,550$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.31238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed No53c4,418$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.05100%0 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes79c4,414$3,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.8580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed No12c4,362$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.2119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-88.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No13c3,900$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.92240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No14c3,718$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.121216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-69.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked No41c3,488$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.13825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82c2…2db4backed No13c3,371$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+187.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked No11c3,296$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.82520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No10c3,224$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.1480%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed No9c3,202$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.78147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed No10c3,098$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.89120%0 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ab4…b5a2backed No13c3,092$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.6730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked No12c2,891$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked No9c2,834$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.671931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked No8c2,620$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.87156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed No13c2,600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.821513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d26…a7d1backed No38c2,588$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc5…610ebacked No9c2,579$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.09825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No8c2,554$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9750%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02e6…c14ebacked No10c2,464$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.4140%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f3…f3a5backed No12c2,464$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No7c2,406$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.69120%0 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x402e…5d12backed No36c2,188$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.99850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f9b…eb64backed No50c2,125$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed No10c2,056$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae1…f52fbacked No23c2,051$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x353c…2af5backed Yes47c2,050$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes75c2,000$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Yes56c1,939$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed No8c1,928$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5760%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34e6…cd63backed No8c1,898$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…5e8cbacked No10c1,885$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No23c1,878$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.351520%3 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb708…56c7backed Yes53c1,852$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f11…157abacked Yes54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f3…38c9backed Yes54c1,848$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.33825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9700…1715backed No52c1,775$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Yes58c1,733$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked No53c1,673$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe188…a901backed No13c1,664$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af5…2470backed Yes62c1,640$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.4977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+58.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa823…9e21backed No31c1,616$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No8c1,589$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.14267.7%2 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-67.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf604…36b3backed No39c1,577$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed Yes40c1,551$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.81728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+87.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked Yes67c1,549$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.531283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+108.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x985b…ce2cbacked Yes50c1,542$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd8…d3ddbacked Yes51c1,533$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x647e…92f5backed No7c1,531$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1086…7b3cbacked No20c1,517$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-73.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7343…40c6backed No51c1,510$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed No9c1,500$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-45.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes79c1,467$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…61dabacked No10c1,450$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked No11c1,447$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No21c1,416$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.724820.8%10 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No29c1,368$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.72020%4 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-44.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf77b…42e9backed No16c1,311$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a55…6be2backed No13c1,281$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Yes41c1,271$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.31633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed No9c1,262$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3750%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…e4debacked No12c1,237$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed No8c1,220$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No11c1,217$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.011315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-73.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed No9c1,202$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7650%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed No46c1,192$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.92933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked No7c1,190$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x126f…7137backed No13c1,188$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-51.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4999…cc96backed No10c1,177$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcff2…9ef0backed No11c1,177$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b5e…ca85backed No7c1,159$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-53%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3740…fffcbacked No12c1,152$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb83b…dfbebacked No38c1,128$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.49633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x156a…dd4bbacked No11c1,111$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9160%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6785…22e8backed No12c1,109$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3140%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.