TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe379…3c98

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Boxing, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 57 out of 100; worst AI at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2718.5%5 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,398Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$2,398.48
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,881Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+29.9%+$562.09
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$4,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$4,022.79
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,982Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+234.2%+$9,324.04
Will New England face Seattle in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+132%+$278.52
Will New England face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$34.93
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,627Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$3,626.56
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,874Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,874.47
Will Denver face Los Angeles R in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$37.1
Will DEN/SEA/NE/CHI win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$115.85
Will DEN/SEA/NE/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+567.8%+$1,653.56
Will DEN/SEA/HOU/CHI win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$101.86
Will DEN/SEA/HOU/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$130.53
Will DEN/SF/HOU/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$130.91
Will DEN/SF/HOU/CHI win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$103.66
Will DEN/SF/NE/CHI win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$99.26
Will DEN/SF/NE/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$94.45
Will BUF/SF/NE/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$133.64
Will BUF/SEA/NE/CHI win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will BUF/SF/HOU/CHI win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$132.16
Will BUF/SF/NE/CHI win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$113.54
Will BUF/SEA/HOU/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$154.57
Will BUF/SEA/HOU/CHI win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$103.57
Will BUF/SF/HOU/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$131.04
Will BUF/SEA/NE/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$99.94
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+48.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Boxing — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+242.1%+$976.83
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,578Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+181.3%+$6,485.89
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,368Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+61%+$1,444.81
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,402Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+37.6%+$1,654.56
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,369Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+44%+$602.39
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+32.8%+$2,007.33
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$108.22
Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,595.38
Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+35.8%+$784.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick14cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+900%+$1,359.94
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of January 19 above $90?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$263.76
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 19 above $9.50?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.58
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 19 above $7.00?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$123.8
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 19 above $8.00?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$104.73
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 19 above $7.50?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$34.55
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 19 above $8.50?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 19 above $9.00?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 19 above $6.50?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$631Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$631.09
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+69.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+107.8%+$25.64
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+44.1%+$22.04
Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
Will "Kurtág: Kafka Fragments - Susan Narucki" win Best Classical Solo Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.42
Will "Alike - My Mother's Dream - Allison Charney" win Best Classical Solo Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.82
Will "Schubert Beatles - Theo Hoffman" win Best Classical Solo Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.76
Will "Telemann: Ino - Opera Arias For Soprano - Amanda Forsythe" win Best Classical Solo Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+737%+$285.98
All 7 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-51.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 20?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+30.7%+$159.23
Silver (SI) Up or Down on January 20?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+41.2%+$87.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Utah Jazz make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any Premier League club reach 90 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.