TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,277,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,217,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,277,212 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 470 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes13c263,927$33,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230,441.5847738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked No48c143,900$68,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,958.286248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No26c72,420$18,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,642.349853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Yes52c49,723$25,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,866.89850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Yes62c24,177$14,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,292.886459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes9c21,910$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,942.64674.5%3 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-71.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No33c21,040$6,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,855.3668446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd131…60f6backed No0c19,640$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Yes61c17,441$10,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,883.783548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Yes9c17,321$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,835.555154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes8c16,148$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,893.5516226.5%43 W · 119 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-30.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes10c15,938$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,331.352924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eef…e7b5backed No0c15,400$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f2…bcfdbacked No0c15,390$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No29c15,277$4,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,385.2411837.3%44 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed No46c14,017$6,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,392.9914926.2%39 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes59c11,000$6,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,464.672152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes9c10,655$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,654.9418140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ef…4e3cbacked Yes10c10,321$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,298.111833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes60c9,818$5,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,897.13862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No5c9,627$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.354052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6332…5a1abacked Yes63c9,083$5,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,367.161020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-61.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7f…26afbacked Yes51c7,452$3,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,675.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed No1c7,297$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9710026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x170f…790bbacked No1c6,661$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.61333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-6.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes63c6,572$4,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.445276.9%40 W · 12 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+21.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Yes8c5,911$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,420.47939.2%31 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c7c…fd27backed Yes57c5,332$3,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Yes9c5,263$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,763.161136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid+44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes59c5,262$3,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.6764747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes25c5,027$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,794.5622142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Yes55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2501100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes8c4,862$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,476.662412.5%3 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick5cpaid+99.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb772…0131backed Yes78c4,641$3,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc29…7774backed Yes9c4,175$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,805.881421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf427…15e1backed Yes78c4,127$3,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c5…07aabacked No16c4,029$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Yes9c4,002$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,621.59633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+110.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No53c3,917$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.773923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-54.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes8c3,748$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,451.5736826.9%99 W · 269 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes8c3,712$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,406.275679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes38c3,709$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,291.725719.3%11 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-56.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes50c3,233$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,616.6818435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes26c3,189$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,373.8221227.8%59 W · 153 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes8c3,025$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,786.41478.5%4 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-47%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No39c2,961$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.6426547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes8c2,952$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.243732.4%12 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes39c2,950$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.758454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Yes9c2,790$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,539.833542.9%15 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes8c2,669$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,458.21911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a6c…428ebacked Yes9c2,634$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,384.111030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes51c2,573$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.39650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed No50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2508729.9%26 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e44…dfd8backed Yes50c2,500$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes8c2,491$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,297.58362.8%1 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe379…3c98backed Yes77c2,443$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.092718.5%5 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes8c2,056$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.41911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick4cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes8c2,007$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.52911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick4cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…66d7backed Yes50c1,910$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes45c1,891$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.13933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes77c1,875$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.9711255.4%62 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x714e…beeebacked No11c1,863$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.66450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+110.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes53c1,685$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.861942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe4c…505cbacked Yes62c1,665$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.963100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b82…7a36backed Yes7c1,650$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.391723.5%4 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Yes57c1,600$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6801681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick65cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x939c…ad45backed Yes75c1,568$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Yes14c1,470$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.1212548.8%61 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Yes68c1,466$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.515038%19 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a50…8ca2backed Yes75c1,433$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92e5…efeebacked No17c1,407$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.11944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b2…1a2dbacked Yes71c1,406$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes37c1,381$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.35922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…2289backed Yes78c1,358$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-57%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ec…6b20backed Yes57c1,333$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.119664.6%62 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes64c1,322$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.183557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fe3…a828backed Yes76c1,319$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ddd…f97ebacked Yes25c1,313$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.231127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3f…8cd6backed No6c1,285$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes66c1,272$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.126759.7%40 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacd4…d343backed Yes79c1,271$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x316b…03c5backed Yes39c1,267$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.45540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x471d…8b22backed Yes53c1,243$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2af…28c3backed Yes64c1,230$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.14854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Yes9c1,215$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.052623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7671…7244backed Yes42c1,197$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.753562.9%22 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…1dbebacked Yes9c1,148$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.856050%30 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Yes45c1,103$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42e7…b90cbacked Yes9c1,061$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.61333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+253.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No54c1,038$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.78535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed No32c1,017$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.322450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked No4c1,011$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.74650%0 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Yes49c1,000$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.814266.7%28 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb44…3eafbacked Yes59c1,000$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4092528%7 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes80c999$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7919152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa549…25adbacked Yes64c931.45$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f2…3bc2backed Yes77c918.02$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf51…b232backed Yes57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.191010%1 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x050a…e260backed Yes57c876.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.