TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x827b…01ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
885
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST14742.9%63 W · 84 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+48.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 147 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$264.45
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$225.27
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$77.91
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.65
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+71.3%+$465.36
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trump out as President in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.92
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+83.5%+$20.59
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$188.67
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$67.64
Will Trump send the national guard to Baltimore?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.9
Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$241.28
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$404.29
Will Trump say TikTok during Netanyahu events on September 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$107
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$251.46
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.2
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$926Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+128.2%+$1,186.98
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$134.33
Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+601.2%+$1,253.18
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$425
Will Trump say "Federalize" during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+167.8%+$93.05
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+291.5%+$946.29
Will Trump say "ICE" during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Trump say "Mexican" or "Mexico" during the DC Crime Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.01
Showing 25 of 147 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT12445.2%56 W · 68 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Jakub Mensik vs. Joao Fonseca: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Set Handicap: Paul (-2.5) vs Sonego (+2.5)backed Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.88
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)backed Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.21
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$101.82
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$80.41
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$112.86
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Cerundolo vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Open: Ugo Humbert vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)backed Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Miami Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Filsbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Open: Jack Draper vs Reilly Opelkabacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Daniil Medvedev vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Medvedev vs. Sinner: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
Set Handicap: Draper (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
BNP Paribas Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Jack Draperbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
BNP Paribas Open: Michael Zheng vs Vit Koprivabacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$150
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST8337.3%31 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.33
North Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.04
Will Trump say "North Korea" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+117.8%+$98.48
Will Trump say "Tariff" 10+ times during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+132.5%+$21.19
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$763.69
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$664.31
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.77
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+76.2%+$1,447.08
North Korea missile test by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.13
Will valid votes be more than 6.2 million in Bolivia election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$246
Will Maya Parbhoe be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.91
Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.99
Will Ashwin Adhin be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.68
Will Gregory Rusland be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.59
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$1,700
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.35
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.35
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.22
Will Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+98.5%+$708.91
Will the next Pope be from Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.34
Will the next Pope be from North America?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+5,849.6%+$895.93
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$371.73
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$134.62
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.45
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT7733.8%26 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$910Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$910.46
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+163.2%+$195.79
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$135.88
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$705.56
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$99.84
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+38.9%+$175.74
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$32.71
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$94.05
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.14
Will Aston Martin finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$345.67
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$175
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.08
F1 Dutch GP: Hamilton vs. Russell backed Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$26.33
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+303.6%+$1,415.44
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.45
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.84
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.04
F1 Hungarian GP: Verstappen vs. Norris backed Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+37%+$53.46
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+417.5%+$1,146.7
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.03
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$262.29
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$21.61
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT6036.7%22 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$266.8
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.6
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$171.39
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.56
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.66
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$226.94
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+186.2%+$159.4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.4%+$62.63
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+530%+$239.21
Will Iran strike UAE in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$63
Will Iran strike Oman in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+189.8%+$66.43
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+25%+$40.75
No US strike on Syria in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+376.2%+$131.67
Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+81.8%+$23.11
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+336.7%+$398.99
Will Trump say "Phase Two" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$564.17
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.02
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+55.2%+$137.9
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.61
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.49
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.71
Will Israel strike Yemen 4 or more times by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.31
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.02
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.84
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT5440.7%22 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+203%+$30.45
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+123.4%+$18.33
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$180.98
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H Moneylinebacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+96.1%+$33.63
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$51.85
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lebron announce he is returning to Cavaliers Tuesday? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.74
NBA Finals: Thunder vs. Pacers backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$293.35
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+82.4%+$82.43
Will the Pacers beat the Knicks 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.07
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$76.9
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.09
Will the Thunder beat the Timberwolves 4-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$308.96
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+126.4%+$510.25
Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+51%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$8.95
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.19
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35.19
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.85
Will Powell say "Uncertainty" 7+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$156.75
Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.2
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+1,340.8%+$895.95
Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$420.72
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$738Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$738.33
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.94
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Powell say "Thank you" 3+ times during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.35
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.52
Will Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+61.7%+$88.88
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$14.22
Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$28.85
Will Jerome Powell say "Cut" 7 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.27
Will Jerome Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+65.9%+$260.37
Will Jerome Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+58.4%+$228.59
Will Jerome Powell say "China" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$101
Will Jerome Powell say "Growth" 8 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+240.1%+$105.9
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+150.8%+$426.74
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 50 or more times during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+59.4%+$73.89
Will Jerome Powell say "Tightening" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+91.7%+$161.37
Will Jerome Powell say "Recession" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+62.9%+$28.95
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$85.5
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+55.9%+$474.18
Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$93.9
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$95.9
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+123.3%+$135.63
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+96.1%+$33.63
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$43.33
Will there be a streaker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$34.1
Will Donald Trump say "DOGE" or "Department of Governmental Efficiency" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+57.5%+$38
Will Donald Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.68
Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+25.7%+$180.87
Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.21
Will Donald Trump say "Israel" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+106.4%+$178.64
Will Donald Trump say "Trudeau" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+34.5%+$56.09
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 10 or more times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be green/yellow?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$52.94
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Money Trees"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+225.1%+$56.85
National Anthem O/U 120.5 secondsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+100%+$35
Will Donald Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$381.41
Will the Jaguars hire Liam Cohen as their next head coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+361.5%+$70.5
Will the Patriots hire Mike Vrabel as their next head coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+43.3%+$13
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST2236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+572.5%+$195.8
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160.1
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+130.3%+$477.38
Russia announces air truce by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$52.34
Will Trump say "Crimea" or "Donetsk" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+70.3%+$70.27
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.04
Will Trump say "NATO" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.05
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$25.2
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or UAE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.44
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.24
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$103.1
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.32
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.52
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$79.8
Trump x Putin talk by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.43
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.99
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.12
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$408.79
Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$256.82
Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$871Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$870.75
Ukraine aid package in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2024, EDT+74.6%+$74.56
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.76
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.13
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$47.5
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$122.54
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
BLAST Open: FURIA vs. G2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
IEM Dallas: Vitality vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Team Spirit win the ESL Katowice Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+494.7%+$3,545.76
Will Team Vitality win the ESL Katowice Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+156.8%+$461.58
Will Team Spirit win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+88.5%+$57.51
Will FaZe Clan win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$57.05
Will G2 Esports win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$22.19
Will Team Vitality win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST+75.4%+$59.37
Will Natus Vincere win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$14.81
Will G2 win Blast Premier World Final 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+75.4%+$494.01
Will Mouz win IEM Rio 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+37%+$91.8
Will Natus Vincere win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+48.9%+$147.3
Will G2 win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+71.5%+$43.74
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.58
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.87
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.93
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+187.2%+$377.76
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$361.28
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.27
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+200.2%+$98.42
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$271.83
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$228.69
Grok 4 released by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+203.2%+$917.77
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+1,067.5%+$357.6
ChatGPT #1 app May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.45
Will Musk say "Tariff" 5+ times during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+55%+$77.16
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will GPT-4.5 be released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+400%+$160
Will xAI have a #1 AI model this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$70.8
Will OpenAI sue Elon Musk before 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Will Elon respond to OpenAI today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$1,749.85
OpenAI announces search competitor on Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$31.93
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2025%5 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+85.2%+$54.28
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Mariners vs. Metsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$419.49
Diamondbacks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Cardinals vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Yankees vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$100.38
Reds vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.8
Guardians vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.47
Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Angels vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+94.7%+$113.67
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+186%+$604.3
Angels vs. Red Soxbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Marlins vs. Padresbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Angels vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Guardians vs. Redsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Juan Soto sign with the Los Angeles Dodgers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$13.06
World Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 4backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
World Series: Dodgers vs. Yankees Game 2backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
NLDS: Padres vs. Dodgers Game 3backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$11.39
All 20 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+42.2%+$66.52
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$53.3
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$219.97
Will LA wildfires burn 40-50k acres by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+156.4%+$18.3
Will LA wildfires burn 50-60k acres by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35.46
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Malibu by Sunday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$208.43
Will the Palisades fire be 50% contained by January 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$81.92
Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+163.2%+$31
Will the Palisades wildfire be contained by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+33.5%+$55.2
Arsonists arrested in connection with LA wildfires? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+38.7%+$62.38
Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+300%+$150
Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$387.43
Will Helene make landfall at category 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Helene make landfall at category 4 or stronger?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$991.76
Will Helene make landfall at category 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$72.9
Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$100.07
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-74.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Epstein" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$80.62
Will "Venezuela" or "Maduro" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Will "Trump" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will "The Phoenician Scheme" Opening Weekend Box Office be $7m or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.13
Will Gaitok die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+45.4%+$25.31
Will Timothy Ratliff die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.92
Will Pornchai die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$25.73
Will Saxson die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.8
Will Chelsea die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.79
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$42.73
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$388.71
Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$643.29
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,279Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+29.4%+$1,256.73
'The Garfield Movie' >$30m Opening Weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$19
'The Garfield Movie' between $26-30m Opening Weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$22
Will 'Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire' gross less than $50m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$28.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$415.94
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.78
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by August 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.94
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 launch by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 achieve a sucessful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+216.4%+$118.83
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.5
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 achieve a succesful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+74.7%+$66.18
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40.38
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+992.8%+$391.19
Will NASA estimate a 3% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$319
SpaceX 7th Starship Super Heavy blows up?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$68.86
SpaceX 7th Starship upper stage successful splash down?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+50.3%+$165.19
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$613.74
SpaceX 7th Starship booster survives re-entry?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+89.2%+$843.22
All 15 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$150
North Carolina vs. Syracusebacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Florida State vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+323.7%+$193.74
San José State vs. Texasbacked San José State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$34.35
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+102%+$350.98
Penn State vs. Boise Statebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$55.72
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked San José State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$105
Tennessee vs. Ohio Statebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$14.81
Will Notre Dame and Indiana combine for 51 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+97.3%+$143
Tulane vs. Floridabacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$32.73
California vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+369.6%+$268.1
Memphis vs. West Virginiabacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-47.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Truth Social memecoin launch this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$7.93
Will Gen Z Quant kid launch another coin by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.97
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$423.99
Will another country launch a memecoin in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$123.39
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$31.05
$PENGU market cap (FDV) <$1b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$16.72
$PENGU market cap (FDV) $1-2b one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$55.46
Did Barron Trump launch $DJT?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2024, EDT+58.5%+$79.88
LayerZero airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2024, EDT+99.6%+$164.73
Will $DADDY hit $500m FDV by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2024, EDT+36.8%+$17.73
Will Andrew Tate burn all his $DADDY by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$104.93
Will Friend.Tech airdrop by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$42.72
All 12 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.21
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.24
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$154.06
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$696.65
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$285
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$239.43
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13.9
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$67.28
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$949.7
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$177.73
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+213.2%+$655.65
All 11 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2024, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-70%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MicroStrategy market cap dip to $50b in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$28
NVIDIA largest company before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$60.89
GME halted on Wednesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
$GME halted on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2024, EDT+61.9%+$17.37
$DJT market cap less than $5b on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
$DJT market cap $5b-$6b on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
$GME halted on Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2024, EDT+38.4%+$91.76
$DJT market cap between $1b and $2b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$129.31
$DJT market cap between $2b and $3b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$70
$DJT market cap between $3b and $4b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$33.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.76
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,158Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+200%+$2,316.17
Will Wesley So win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$27.36
Will Hans Niemann win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$21.2
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$51.3
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$52.08
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$48.98
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$24
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2024 World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$42.23
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Homeless" or "Homelessness" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+117%+$40.2
Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$340.6
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$54.98
Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$68.02
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+155.5%+$272.48
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$68.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-66.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$91.81
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.55
Will Taylor Swift say "Pre-order" during Travis Kelce's podcast on Wednesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$179.31
Will Tyler, The Creator's album 'DON'T TAP THE GLASS' have over 200k sales by July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$397.04
A$AP Rocky convicted of a felony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will 'Not Like Us' win Record of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.1
Drake or Kendrick higher on Billboard Hot 100 this week?backed Drake · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$75
Kanye drops Vultures 2 by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2024, EDT+29.1%+$73.71
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-73.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-73.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU vs. Wisconsinbacked Wisconsin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$519.08
Michigan vs. Texas A&Mbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+109.9%+$156.04
Marquette vs. St. John'sbacked St. John's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$144
UConn beats Purdue by >6.5 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+173.9%+$260.81
Valkyries vs Sunbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$887Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$887.32
Dream vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+79.9%+$300.26
Wings vs Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$210.7
All 4 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-64.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+88.7%+$55.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$168.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.