F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5151378ede55b0d81aca6389e4f1692f8dbbd266bdbcde7bd95214680e352e51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 28c | 10,000$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 74c | 7,973$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 29c | 7,551$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.5 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 66c | 7,427$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.98 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 36c | 7,023$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.08 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 44c | 6,529$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.18 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 23c | 5,745$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.35 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 77c | 4,137$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 65c | 3,804$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 56c | 3,141$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.48 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 75c | 3,099$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.79 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 68c | 3,022$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.21 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 73c | 2,938$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.33 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 75c | 2,859$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.75 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 56c | 2,793$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.95 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 61c | 2,650$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.5 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Yes | 27c | 2,359$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Yes | 25c | 2,332$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 75c | 1,835$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.47 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 8c | 1,722$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 64c | 1,500$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.69 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…532fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,402$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.55 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 36c | 1,375$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.84 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Yes | 17c | 1,317$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.53 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 61c | 1,289$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.25 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 43c | 1,250$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,200$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.07 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.64 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…7c68backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…176bbacked No | 74c | 999.95$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.31per pick | 37cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 72c | 894.12$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.37 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 4c | 861.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 26c | 850$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 73c | 842.99$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.61 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 4c | 833$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…a2aebacked Yes | 27c | 789.89$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce6…121ebacked Yes | 27c | 594.57$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…27c8backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…c382backed Yes | 27c | 471.87$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…6fa0backed Yes | 44c | 421.47$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 22c | 414$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…e81cbacked No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…6012backed Yes | 26c | 390$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 33c | 343.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.15 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 26c | 333.34$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 65c | 327.33$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.53 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 24c | 307$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36e…1524backed Yes | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 61c | 280.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.81 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 9c | 274.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 254$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2df…0fbdbacked Yes | 42c | 231.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…9e4fbacked Yes | 5c | 218.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 74c | 216.54$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Yes | 39c | 202.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 26c | 188.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…d409backed Yes | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 62c | 178.89$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 68c | 162.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a2…59c9backed Yes | 41c | 152.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…5608backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 56c | 146.23$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…141cbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b2…31b3backed Yes | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…f830backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3465…7082backed Yes | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…a6e5backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…d3ddbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 123.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995c…8770backed Yes | 37c | 121.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6d…2a58backed Yes | 41c | 121.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 62c | 120.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 16c | 116$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…e05cbacked No | 75c | 110.4$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 61c | 109.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 40c | 108$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes | 42c | 106.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…66b0backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x135b…24f8backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…ac3ebacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…7248backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…aa53backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc216…b083backed Yes | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…b125backed Yes | 46c | 96.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…54e0backed Yes | 28c | 96.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…6566backed No | 61c | 96.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…ad4fbacked No | 61c | 93.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed Yes | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed No | 74c | 86.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ea…0b14backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…26ebbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c4…fb23backed No | 61c | 78.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.