TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71a6…6fa0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
224
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT5356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.63
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$24.85
Will Mark Daignault win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will Mark Daigneault win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$72.33
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$44.65
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+122.1%+$126.45
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$38.94
Will the Brooklyn Nets win more than 19.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.2%+$21.75
Spread: Warriors (-12.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$80.5
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+75.7%+$151.98
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+108.3%+$72.8
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+25%+$3.75
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$14.99
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$14.9
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.99
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+132.6%+$17.89
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.99
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+56.3%+$8.43
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+53.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$103.95
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+244.8%+$222.23
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+166%+$16.85
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.63
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$27.5
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.1
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$151.73
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$403.86
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.45
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.32
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+150%+$69.92
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+57%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.99
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$17.89
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$13.84
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Yankees vs. White Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+62.9%+$12.98
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+63.1%+$9.46
Twins vs. Blue Jaysbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$43.75
Cubs vs. Angelsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+90.8%+$119
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+76.1%+$57.48
Royals vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.66
Cardinals vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14.99
Miami (OH) vs. Ohio: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.61
California vs. Virginia Techbacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.07
Kennesaw State vs. Florida Internationalbacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Lafayette Leopards vs. Oregon Statebacked Oregon State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$7.84
Akron vs. Ball Statebacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Central Michigan vs. Bowlingbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Spread: USC (-18.5)backed Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Appalachian State vs. Charlottebacked Charlotte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.25
Boise State vs. South Floridabacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+250.9%+$28.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.06
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$31.62
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.63
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.34
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$58.3
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.29
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$6.75
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.61
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.35
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.3
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$11.52
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$7.67
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+122.2%+$16.49
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+104.8%+$11
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs SAW (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.87
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs fnatic (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
BLAST Open: Spirit vs. FURIAbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$28.34
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$23.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.19
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$33.28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+222.6%+$22.77
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33%+$104.31
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$456.21
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will the Florida Panthers make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.55
Utah vs. Canadiensbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Hurricanes vs. Starsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.99
Canadiens vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.18
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Sharks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Penguins vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Senators vs. Sabresbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Red Wings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+150%+$22.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.99
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14.99
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$8.07
Ningbo Open: Marketa Vondrousova vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$10.57
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
US Open: Chak Lam Coleman Wong vs Andrey Rublevbacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.99
US Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.97
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.44
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$73.6
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.38
'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?backed No change · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+68%+$40.49
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+45.8%+$23.2
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.02
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick48cpaid+79.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Salikhov vs. Medicbacked Salikhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.49
Delija vs. Cortes-Acostabacked Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.86
Dulgarian vs. del Vallebacked del Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$15.27
Vera vs. Zahabibacked Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+90.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.2
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+129%+$75.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.99
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Sparksbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+115.6%+$14.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
D4vd arrested by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+77.6%+$38.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+73.4%+$11.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)backed Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+51.5%+$5.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+27.4%+$4.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$125.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.