TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Brooklyn Nets win more than 19.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,103

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,147 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51fd…4272backed Yes57c633.28$364 inWon+$269.2739435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b1…7865backed No12c588.75$69 inLost-$69.02714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No29c462.6$136 inLost-$136.0122750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd0c8…e944backed No38c460.51$176 inLost-$175.782650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f15…52f1backed No50c200$100 inLost-$1005350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No30c158.39$48 inLost-$47.9625845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf5c…3912backed Yes57c148.49$85 inWon+$63.872171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked No26c100$26 inLost-$268020%16 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71a6…6fa0backed Yes74c100$74 inWon+$265356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x266b…1988backed No40c94.21$38 inLost-$37.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2bb…ae21backed Yes71c80$57 inWon+$23.11861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No20c75$15 inLost-$14.9215010%15 W · 135 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03bf…475cbacked Yes67c72$48 inWon+$23.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3560…11f0backed Yes50c63$32 inWon+$31.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe397…60b6backed No50c60.6$30 inLost-$30.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed No55c50$28 inLost-$27.634942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x676e…8aa7backed Yes77c50$39 inWon+$11.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes58c47.07$27 inWon+$19.7518246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes35c31.34$11 inWon+$20.2938239.5%151 W · 231 L+35.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d2a…7defbacked Yes80c31.25$25 inWon+$6.254843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes61c28.94$18 inWon+$11.279746.4%45 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed8…a694backed Yes79c25.31$20 inWon+$5.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d9…6b54backed Yes75c25$19 inWon+$6.251553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe068…c5eabacked Yes48c21$10 inWon+$10.922231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes63c16$10 inWon+$5.921631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.