TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6f7…1f33

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
500
Categories scored
42
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 58 out of 100; worst Commodities at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT5028%14 W · 36 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Commodities — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,132.4%+$132.15
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.06
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.78
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.63
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.93
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.48
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.32
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.13
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.41
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.47
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.42
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+213.2%+$46.97
Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will Scott Singer be the FL-25 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will Steve Cohen be the Democratic Nominee for TN-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+171.3%+$32.2
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+303.6%+$46.94
Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Tim Greimel be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$17.45
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$18.28
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+95.4%+$19.53
Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+134.2%+$19.48
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+126.9%+$22.93
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$20.68
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.21
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+201.2%+$59.72
Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$16.19
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT3928.2%11 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big 12 conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Will Arizona advance to the Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$14.78
Will Utah Valley win the 2026 WAC conference championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Will UConn win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28.26
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. North Dakota State Bison (W)backed South Dakota State Jackrabbits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+47.5%+$11.91
Towson Tigers vs. Monmouth Hawksbacked Towson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
South Florida Bulls vs. Florida Atlantic Owlsbacked Florida Atlantic Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
North Texas Mean Green vs. Temple Owlsbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+138.1%+$20.7
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Robert Morris Colonialsbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Long Beach State Beach vs. UC Davis Aggiesbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
New Orleans Privateers vs. Houston Christian Huskiesbacked Houston Christian Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. Northwestern State Demonsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Wyoming Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Missouri State Bearsbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+354.5%+$53.18
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs. Radford Highlandersbacked Charleston Southern Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Liberty Flames vs. UTEP Minersbacked UTEP Miners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Bucknell Bison vs. Boston Terriersbacked Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Chicago State Cougars vs. Le Moyne Dolphinsbacked Chicago State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
St. John's Red Storm vs. Providence Friarsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Samford Bulldogs vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneersbacked Samford Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+284.6%+$42.69
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
California Golden Bears vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.28
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.14
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+246.9%+$36.3
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.23
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.8%+$18.6
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.54
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Military action against Iran ends by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+135.2%+$24.14
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+147%+$20.48
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$19.2
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+259.9%+$28.16
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$23.12
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$10.53
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+390.2%+$39.8
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $23B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.15
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $11B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.44
Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.78
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+160.5%+$51.75
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.39
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+165.5%+$43.55
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $41B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+265.1%+$37.03
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+143.2%+$15.9
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+234.6%+$23.84
Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 245m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.19
Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 240m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.1
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.45
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $130 end of July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.3
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+193.2%+$37.67
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$16.47
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $144 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.53
Will Tesla reach $420 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+227.5%+$29.5
Will Opendoor reach $6 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+144.3%+$18.9
Will NVIDIA reach $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$15.47
Will Apple reach $264 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$12.24
Will Netflix reach $105 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$11.35
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$15.45
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (HIGH) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Amazon reach $224 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$21.68
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $148 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.13
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Will Google reach $330 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Will Google reach $320 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Will KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) hit 4800 (LOW) in Q1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Movieslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 45 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.38
Will "Mutiny" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$22.72
Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.25
Will James Gunn appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.63
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$22.14
Will Elliot die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$16.9
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+176.7%+$42.42
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$13.48
Will "IRIS OUT" by Kenshi Yonezu (Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc) win Best Anime Song at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$10.16
Will "SPY x FAMILY Season 3" win Best Comedy Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.96
Will Bastien Bourlé as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (French) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+307.4%+$41.5
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.67
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.23
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44%+$14.35
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.04
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Will Margot Robbie attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Will Connor Storrie attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+136.5%+$20.2
Will Zendaya attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$5
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+52%+$20.88
Will Sian Astley win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.18
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$16.72
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Will Tayte Willows win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.28
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+130%+$22.37
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$15.13
Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Seán Kyne win the 2026 Galway West by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$6.75
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$28.82
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$12.3
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$33.72
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+321.2%+$54.22
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Will Luis Antonio Revilla win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$5.93
All 21 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+66.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.38
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 115 mph?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 105 mph?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.18
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+129.2%+$19.73
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+152.3%+$29.89
Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+935%+$137.31
Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+115.7%+$15.02
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+283.5%+$51.75
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.52
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.9
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.79
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.95
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+111.8%+$15.31
Will the Brooklyn Nets win more than 19.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$8.63
Team World vs. Team USA Stripesbacked Team World · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Team World vs. Team USA Starsbacked Team USA Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+138.1%+$20.71
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.49
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Nets vs. Sunsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launcheslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Over $2M committed to the TownSquare public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.45
Over $32.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$37.76
Over $35M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+200.1%+$23.92
Nexus FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$12.17
OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.36
Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.83
Unitas Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$7.2
Over $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.57
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.58
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+205.1%+$34.57
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+147.7%+$26.24
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+98%+$18.67
Will Robert De Zerbi be appointed as manager of Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+162.5%+$42.1
Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.26
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Grimsby Town FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+156.4%+$23.46
Will Burton Albion FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+257.1%+$38.57
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.05
Will Aurora make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Will Team Falcons win an S tier event in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$10
Will PARIVISION make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$14.08
Will Natus Vincere qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will BetBoom qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$14.94
Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Will BIG qualify to IEM Cologne Major 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+70%+$9.47
Will BC.Game make a roster move before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+98.2%+$23.29
Will Team Spirit qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cbacked Rebels Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Marsborne - Map 2 Winnerbacked Marsborne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.54
Will Como finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+183.3%+$26.68
Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Will Cremonese be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$19.15
Will Palermo achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+143.9%+$47.44
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$16
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+357.6%+$50.06
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.17
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hoffenheim finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.8%+$11.8
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+233.3%+$35
Will RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+426.3%+$63.94
Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+34%+$9.5
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$29.24
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+71%+$9.55
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.68
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$12.43
Will North West release an album by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+67%+$19.75
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 150k and 200k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+94%+$13.08
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
AHL: Hartford Wolf Pack vs. Charlotte Checkersbacked Hartford Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufabacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
AHL: Cleveland Monsters vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguinsbacked Cleveland Monsters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+156.4%+$23.46
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
AHL: Hershey Bears vs. Belleville Senatorsbacked Hershey Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+100%+$15
KHL: HC Sochi vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.36
KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Traktorbacked Admiral Vladivostok · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Torpedobacked Ak Bars Kazan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Will Bilibili Gaming win LPL 2026 Split 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+162.2%+$50.21
Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+103%+$15.22
Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.45
Will Anyone's Legend qualify to MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.46
Will G2 Esports win LEC 2026 Spring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+155.6%+$18.28
Will Movistar KOI qualify to MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.07
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.61
LoL: Deer Gaming vs 4 SWINES & A BUM (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked 4 SWINES & A BUM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-53.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.04
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.77
Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+54.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.36
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.42
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$14.04
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+174%+$31.75
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+135.9%+$14.4
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+86%+$12.02
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-49.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+130%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+92.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicatorslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-54.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Brown be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+121.7%+$39.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+107.5%+$16.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.