Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5733305930100cc1ea92300b738c702dd96ea6714227b691cdb79678dd5b0aa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 73c | 52,373$38,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,142.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 24,183$6,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,523.13 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 27c | 8,837$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.13 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 7,661$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.17 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6422…a30ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,887$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +199.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 4,630$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.21 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 72c | 3,645$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.59 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,779$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.44 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 2,728$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.01 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 26c | 1,462$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,250$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.72 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 73c | 1,055$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.48 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 72c | 975.12$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.29 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 24c | 678.18$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.31 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 12c | 435.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 73c | 400$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 382.77$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…4f17backed No | 73c | 286.38$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 11c | 248.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 72c | 197.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 27c | 196$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 27c | 188.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 24c | 143.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed No | 74c | 117.57$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 26c | 111.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 27c | 109$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 109$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 28c | 101.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…79e1backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 29c | 82.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 27c | 76.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 27c | 69.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes | 27c | 65.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ba…30b7backed Yes | 27c | 65.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2081…daffbacked Yes | 27c | 61.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes | 28c | 48.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…0626backed No | 74c | 25.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…9d70backed No | 74c | 24.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b7…5383backed No | 74c | 21.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No | 74c | 21.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…5460backed No | 74c | 20.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked No | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d1…1299backed No | 74c | 17.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…7dffbacked No | 74c | 16.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 94 | 76.6%72 W · 22 L | +16.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 112 | 81.3%91 W · 21 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-02-14?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-02-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.