TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7250…f52f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 51 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT6829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+525%+$209.99
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Port Vale FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+150%+$509.24
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$138.98
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$85.1
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$184
Fulham FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$236
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Will Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Will Everton FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$370
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$564.87
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$245.13
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Will Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+257.1%+$720
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$37.43
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT5425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$144
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30.65
Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$174
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$89.99
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Will Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$589.93
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$309.95
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$570
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Will FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+185.7%+$650
Will SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$336
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$505
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$329
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$336
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+257.1%+$864
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$123.36
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.99
Will Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$374.97
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$97.5
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$99
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$44.64
Will Macarthur FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$209.98
Will Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+284.6%+$155.4
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$520
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$330
Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$276
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Will Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Will Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Adelaide United FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$336
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.9
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$299.99
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$420.07
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$324
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$460
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$399.8
Will Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,155.2
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+29.4%+$213.65
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.