TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$522,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $522,413 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 525 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No71c42,815$30,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,566.2158248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c29,965$22,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,560.3761447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No75c19,351$14,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,513.017346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes24c19,183$4,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,572.892744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No67c18,177$12,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,163.921,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No76c11,430$8,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,685.351450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes23c10,900$2,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,369.9810443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c10,688$8,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,104.8912352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Yes25c10,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,500.045757.9%33 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes25c9,589$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,191.61533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c9,578$6,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,364.51,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes25c7,920$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9402035%7 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Yes25c7,760$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,820.152540%10 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e6…56a3backed Yes32c6,670$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,551.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x702b…dedebacked Yes25c6,544$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9081520%3 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No29c6,278$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.957834.6%27 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes24c5,488$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,170.534342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6501573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No75c5,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,749.943063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Yes25c4,962$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,713.711145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c4,167$3,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,126.6559441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes25c4,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0006952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8801643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes56c3,437$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.224365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes69c3,136$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.941369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c3,100$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,32520948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No4c3,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205729.8%17 W · 40 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+162.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes24c2,822$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.521861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+78.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Yes25c2,501$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.572272.7%16 W · 6 L+7.7wins+0.35per pick38cpaid+106.7%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6515…a2b2backed Yes25c2,460$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No55c2,170$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.757140.8%29 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes16c2,134$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.265625%14 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No42c2,080$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.5859136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes24c2,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.9929136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8483…47debacked Yes25c1,980$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed Yes25c1,887$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.681844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86ed…8e73backed Yes34c1,719$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed No52c1,718$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.64850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78fa…137ebacked Yes41c1,711$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.151060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No80c1,669$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.5239443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes25c1,600$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5546…e3cfbacked Yes26c1,580$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.121533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No76c1,508$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.217365.9%114 W · 59 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes25c1,455$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.512934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Yes23c1,365$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.311957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes25c1,328$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9966225.8%16 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03a1…8f46backed Yes57c1,195$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.74944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6a6…204dbacked Yes33c1,127$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.111241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No51c1,103$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.028840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No26c1,101$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.7938935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4a…2881backed Yes24c1,065$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.58333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No70c1,064$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.545438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes11c1,036$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.711020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…76a4backed Yes49c1,021$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes25c1,003$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.33850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes3c1,000$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97021938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf49…ef75backed Yes25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+152.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafc3…a476backed No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes12c958.33$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.334738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaebc…fb65backed No67c949.99$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.491145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed8e…c322backed Yes25c920.88$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.72333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9186…fad1backed Yes22c905.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.541275%9 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+119.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Yes59c900$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3691668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked No45c899.97$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.988241.5%34 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b9…9ff4backed Yes25c800.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+100.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6004544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No56c799.99$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4448650%43 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes33c757.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.581145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No62c734.09$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.889550.5%48 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Yes24c726.43$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.095350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…8ceebacked Yes42c721.46$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Yes71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.232347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes7c684.1$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.211668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+128.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3e7d…224cbacked Yes31c674.52$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.911643.8%7 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick24cpaid+42%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes24c641.75$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.735448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc573…69f9backed Yes44c629.55$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes8c625$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5752433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes67c624.89$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.644858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes12c600$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5282850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes24c589.28$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.8514645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes9c564.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.243743.2%16 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+47.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d11…0561backed Yes13c538.46$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+245.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7008…c666backed Yes64c533.38$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No76c527.01$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2110…539ebacked No3c518.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e0…0222backed Yes66c502$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No75c500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37539842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3805424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x313d…b795backed Yes12c500$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+113.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed No75c499.99$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.883946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Yes25c494.9$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.41921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes67c491.04$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.043871.1%27 W · 11 L+8.8wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+70.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes27c485.75$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.67334.2%25 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b7…ef2dbacked No76c470$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94c4…7a29backed Yes36c455.39$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.45540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes26c452.88$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.384643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef5c…26f2backed No67c437.68$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.653548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked No66c430.43$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.081822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc868…7bd7backed Yes25c428.59$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.