TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x54f0…7a91

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
589
Categories scored
39
Categories below 50
26

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst UFC at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT744.1%3 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-84.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.08
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.49
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will One Battle After Another win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Hamnet win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$394.5
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.1
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Will Bugonia win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.19
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.69
Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$196.14
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.66
Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will The Bear win Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$70.91
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$302.19
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT5625%14 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.72
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.38
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$262.08
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.51
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+249.3%+$427.93
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.85
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.58
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+414.4%+$788.83
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$713.07
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.56
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.48
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$801Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$247.81
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$423.13
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.33
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+489.9%+$627.36
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$223
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,096Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+265.6%+$2,911.34
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+1,394.6%+$401.66
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+784.8%+$1,177.24
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT4415.9%7 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-44.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.86
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$633.59
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.19
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,160
Military action against Iran ends on March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,255.24
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$110.41
Military action against Iran ends on March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$973.94
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$69.27
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$124.82
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+61.6%+$61.65
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+50.7%+$154.69
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,158.76
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+809.1%+$1,618.18
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$265.36
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.96
US forces enter Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$943Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$942.65
Khamenei seen in public by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT4228.6%12 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)backed ACF Fiorentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.54
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.04
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.28
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.36
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.44
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)backed 1. FSV Mainz 05 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$960.7
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,335.14
Will AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+277%+$1,060.32
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$2,413.94
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)backed SC Freiburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+1,006%+$2,853.34
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$192.9
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.09
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+662.9%+$3,309
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+212.6%+$474.36
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.79
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.14
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.39
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)backed Olympique Lyonnais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.68
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.5
Will NK Celje win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.15
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.02
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.27
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST340%0 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$36.38
Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$281.95
Big Game: Overtime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$39.97
Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$121.56
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,180.78
Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$164.34
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$88.72
Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$47.59
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$23.64
Will 135 million or more people watch Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$49.75
Will 120-125 million people watch Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.86
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto", "Cryptocurrency", or "Bitcoin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.04
Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$46.71
Will xAi/X run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Saquon Barkley win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.75
Will AJ Brown win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Travis Kelce proposes to Taylor Swift at Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Snoop Dogg perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$14.96
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.81
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
Will Latvia win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.83
World Championships: Norway vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.86
World Championships: Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
World Championships: Finland vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.91
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.49
World Championships: USA vs. Austriabacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
World Championships: Norway vs. Denmarkbacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$56.26
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Italybacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$76.03
World Championships: Czechia vs. Norwaybacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+322.8%+$111.34
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Canadabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
World Championships: Denmark vs. Italybacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31%+$17.36
World Championships: Austria vs. Germanybacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
World Championships: Slovakia vs. Czechiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.86
World Championships: Latvia vs. USAbacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+335.1%+$402.14
World Championships: Denmark vs. Sloveniabacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+159.6%+$133.07
World Championships: Hungary vs. Great Britainbacked Great Britain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.13
World Championships: Latvia vs. Austriabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
World Championships: Sweden vs. Czechiabacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.19
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$372.86
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-77.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,444.4
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$588.58
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300.28
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 27, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$47.65
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$122.42
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,280.05
Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.05
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.13
Was JFK assassinated by a foreign government? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.64
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump's joint address to Congress be less than 50 min?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$23.83
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+617.6%+$92.03
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100.45
Will Trump impose tariffs on China in the first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Donald Trump issue 100 or more executive orders in his first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22.54
Will Caitlyn Jenner attend presidential inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50.92
Will Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$126.87
Will Trump issue 35-39 executive orders on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$35.24
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST293.4%1 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-92.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$666.67
Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$248.74
Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will China win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$825.42
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$586Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$585.95
Will Japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$366.11
Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$432.94
Will Hungary record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$78.14
Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Netherlands win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$78.7
Will Chinese Taipei record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Lithuania record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$801Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$800.91
Will Rachael Karker (CAN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Eileen Gu (CHN) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$618.33
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$448.88
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-71.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.91
Will China join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.87
Maduro exiled to Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.76
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+169.1%+$348.09
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$123.19
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$79.17
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200.27
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+50%+$99.95
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$147
Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.19
Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$228
Will Donald Trump say "Thousand," "Million," or "Billion" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$350.62
Will Donald Trump say "Biden's war" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Donald Trump say "Donbas" or "Crimea" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Donald Trump say "Kiev" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$98.19
Will Donald Trump say "tariff" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+45.9%+$45.88
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$217.13
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$155.91
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25.58
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT238.7%2 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$105.36
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$724Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$724.19
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.58
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.6
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.94
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 40 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25.95
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Powell say "DeepSeek" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Powell say "deport" or "deportation" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$48.83
Will Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during January press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+624.6%+$281.08
Will Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+400%+$120
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$229.78
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$32.33
Will Powell say "good afternoon" during January press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$35
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+86.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$1,566.67
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$91.62
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$118.19
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.35
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.21
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$69.9
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.45
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.36
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$15.66
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+525%+$78.75
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+233.3%+$58.33
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Magic vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Nets vs. Sunsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+334.8%+$66.96
Trail Blazers vs. Pacersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$23
All 21 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT210%0 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$98.19
Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will another coalition form the next German Government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.78
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.81
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the CDU/CSU win by 10-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.77
Will the SPD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.9
Will the SPD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20.85
Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Kostas Tasoulas be next Greek President?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$22.4
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Bruno Retailleau be the next French Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$38.48
Will François Bayrou be the next French Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.43
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.77
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.12
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.87
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,094.31
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$89.5
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$370
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Burkina Faso end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.18
Will France beat Italy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+165.9%+$33.19
Will Greece beat Finland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+92.3%+$34.62
Will Slovakia beat Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will the match between Turkey and Wales end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Will the match between Georgia and Ukraine end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+222.6%+$44.52
Will Iceland beat Montenegro?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+212.5%+$42.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-55.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Roger Pascual vs Dhakshineswar Sureshbacked Roger Pascual · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.54
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+276.9%+$553.82
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$805Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$804.63
Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+192.7%+$919.59
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$951Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$951.04
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$332.95
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$640.62
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$377.21
Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$337.91
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elena Rybakina win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-69.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Daria Zhelezniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$99.27
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Ricky Turcios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$73.03
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$24.86
UFC 326: Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jesus Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$115.56
UFC 326: Diyar Nurgozhay vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Rafael Tobias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$48.32
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$491.4
Will Trump attend UFC 324?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. backed Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.79
Kape vs. Almabayevbacked Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22.92
Gane vs. Volkovbacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$44.76
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$60
Nickal vs. Craigbacked Craig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$32
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 9-11 inches of snow in D.C. in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.89
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$78.8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in January 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$71
2025 January hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$124.34
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$38.73
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be greater than 1.34°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$118.21
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$46.98
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$112.01
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be greater than 1.39°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$76.16
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.35-1.39°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$30
2024 November hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$115.06
All 13 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Air Force vs. San Diego Statebacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$14
Washington vs. Oregonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Purdue vs. Indianabacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$24.81
Wyoming vs. Washington Statebacked Wyoming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+492.8%+$64.06
Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentuckybacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$27
Notre Dame vs. USCbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$29
NC State vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Arizona State vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Pittsburgh vs. Boston Collegebacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$28.22
South Florida vs. Ricebacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Georgia Tech vs. Georgiabacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$89.67
Memphis vs. Tulanebacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+426.3%+$85.26
All 12 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick6cpaid+288.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+1,150%+$402.5
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+2,537.6%+$1,268.81
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$107.09
Will Wesley So win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$45
Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Hans Niemann win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Volodar Murzin win the 2024 World Blitz Championship? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$25.18
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump disparage Machado on Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$144.54
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$624.23
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$498.35
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$601.35
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$78
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-78.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-74.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+378.6%+$376.38
Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukesbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.47
Syracuse Orange vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.46
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-5.5)backed Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.35
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Akron Zipsbacked Central Michigan Chippewas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 5 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-54.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$63.19
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$298.19
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$55.13
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.24
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$373
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)backed SE Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.02
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)backed Levante UD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$80.98
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Fiorentina win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.68
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Red Bulls win the 2024 MLS Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$64.78
Will Orlando City win the MLS Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$380.14
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$397.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$266.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Was Milei hacked?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$34.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.