NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f3225c9cb8063782bd6cc6e16fa3782fb4553da733ab61e483fcc48a59f5835
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Flames | 11c | 2,226$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.88 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,664$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.06 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +9.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Flames | 63c | 1,395$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.1 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flames | 33c | 1,262$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.62 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche | 34c | 891.68$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.51 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Flames | 66c | 890.76$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.75 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Avalanche | 34c | 564.94$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.86 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Avalanche | 37c | 511.76$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.41 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 60c | 489.2$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.72 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Avalanche | 36c | 443.85$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Flames | 12c | 336.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Avalanche | 37c | 280$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Avalanche | 75c | 275.13$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Flames | 71c | 261.95$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.1 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Avalanche | 37c | 246.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.01 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Avalanche | 40c | 241.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.43 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Flames | 41c | 227.31$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…2f29backed Avalanche | 38c | 220.89$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Flames | 62c | 220.73$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.81 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf50…b426backed Avalanche | 36c | 219.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Avalanche | 37c | 213.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.42 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flames | 58c | 184.18$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Flames | 70c | 173.65$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.29 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Avalanche | 34c | 165.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Flames | 64c | 138$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Avalanche | 36c | 131.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Flames | 64c | 122.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Avalanche | 39c | 114.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Flames | 61c | 112.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Flames | 65c | 102.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Avalanche | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Avalanche | 37c | 78.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Flames | 65c | 76.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Flames | 66c | 73.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Flames | 64c | 71.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Flames | 64c | 67.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Flames | 64c | 60.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Flames | 73c | 60.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Avalanche | 30c | 53.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Avalanche | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Flames | 66c | 51.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Flames | 29c | 50.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Flames | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…baf0backed Avalanche | 42c | 43.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 64c | 42.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Flames | 64c | 36.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Avalanche | 30c | 36.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 36c | 32.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Flames | 64c | 31.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Flames | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Flames | 66c | 29.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Flames | 64c | 21.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Flames | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Flames | 64c | 19.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e45…6a75backed Flames | 65c | 16.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Avalanche vs. FlamesAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.