NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1890e9f20942080381d53081456919444893469f846b21926309b443c1ecc61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $686,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $750,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $686,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 677 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1925…4654backed Avalanche | 59c | 124,115$73,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,778.83 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Flames | 41c | 70,835$29,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,001.68 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 44c | 56,798$24,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,871.89 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Avalanche | 58c | 52,584$30,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,085.21 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Flames | 42c | 39,452$16,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,399.96 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 38c | 23,120$8,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,694.33 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…df7cbacked Avalanche | 56c | 21,639$12,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,521.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…c991backed Avalanche | 56c | 19,459$10,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,561.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Flames | 41c | 16,240$6,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,658.24 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Flames | 42c | 15,869$6,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,665.06 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Avalanche | 61c | 15,784$9,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,157.52 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Avalanche | 58c | 15,549$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,549.45 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Flames | 40c | 13,888$5,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 58c | 13,445$7,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,646.89 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Flames | 45c | 10,458$4,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,675.11 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a52abacked Flames | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Avalanche | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Flames | 45c | 9,914$4,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.91 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 40c | 9,673$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.15 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flames | 42c | 9,000$3,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,757.51 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Flames | 41c | 8,350$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423.5 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Flames | 41c | 8,244$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.04 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Flames | 40c | 8,183$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,269.54 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Flames | 45c | 7,549$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.42 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Flames | 40c | 6,177$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9102…89d6backed Avalanche | 60c | 6,000$3,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Avalanche | 61c | 5,246$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.9 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…2493backed Avalanche | 58c | 5,037$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…f610backed Avalanche | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Flames | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…5ffbbacked Avalanche | 60c | 4,930$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Avalanche | 58c | 4,734$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.28 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flames | 43c | 4,720$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.42 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…9dcabacked Flames | 41c | 4,607$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…e87abacked Flames | 42c | 4,002$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 42c | 3,800$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.99 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Avalanche | 55c | 3,733$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Flames | 40c | 3,508$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.14 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flames | 33c | 3,476$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.3 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Avalanche | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 45c | 3,094$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.81 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…dc24backed Flames | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…865fbacked Flames | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Flames | 43c | 2,777$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.46 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Flames | 41c | 2,732$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.77 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Avalanche | 56c | 2,600$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Avalanche | 61c | 2,597$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Flames | 39c | 2,540$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.6 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Avalanche | 60c | 2,522$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.98 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked Avalanche | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flames | 42c | 2,410$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.87 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c5…f860backed Flames | 41c | 2,410$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames | 38c | 2,328$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.65 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Flames | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Avalanche | 59c | 2,158$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.46 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Avalanche | 63c | 2,080$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.6 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Avalanche | 60c | 2,052$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.77 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Flames | 42c | 2,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Flames | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Avalanche | 60c | 2,000$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.97 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,927$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.23 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Flames | 44c | 1,851$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.49 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Avalanche | 56c | 1,770$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Flames | 42c | 1,756$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.7 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche | 77c | 1,666$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.18 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Flames | 42c | 1,663$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.44 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,501$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.36 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Flames | 47c | 1,437$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.15 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Avalanche | 56c | 1,430$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.24 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…d9f4backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,245$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Flames | 39c | 1,230$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.54 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Flames | 11c | 1,220$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.19 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…9343backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,216$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Flames | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Avalanche | 60c | 1,191$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.99 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Avalanche | 75c | 1,146$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.56 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…9bd9backed Flames | 41c | 1,124$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.57 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flames | 41c | 1,065$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.53 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Flames | 41c | 1,062$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.72 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Flames | 41c | 1,045$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.57 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e2…42d9backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Flames | 40c | 1,005$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.01 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,002$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.82 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…2f29backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Flames | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Flames | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Avalanche | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Flames | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Avalanche | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Avalanche | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Avalanche | 57c | 999.96$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.98 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Flames | 41c | 950.03$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.41 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Flames | 46c | 950$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Avalanche | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Avalanche | 56c | 890.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Flames | 41c | 887.84$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.65 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Avalanche | 59c | 858.65$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.34 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…0a80backed Avalanche | 59c | 847.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Avalanche | 59c | 828.8$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.56 | 413 | 54.5%225 W · 188 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Flamesthis page
- Avalanche vs. Flames: O/U 4.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.