TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67e2…42d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NHL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 59 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2181%17 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick63cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$434.48
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$257.58
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$215.38
Sabres vs. Blackhawksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$242.31
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$234.92
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
Canucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Hurricanes vs. Blackhawksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$197.01
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$110.96
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$166.53
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$348.47
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$362.07
Flames vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$112.32
Kraken vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$107.14
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$146.83
Avalanche vs. Bluesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$173.73
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.55
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$301.62
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$198.47
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$203.35
All 4 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$233.13
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$283.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$637.99
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.