NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd09a6831a8508865e3641acb68e7bd6d2795ba2e212ca6b9fcf0aa180bf9ecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Rangers, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $971,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,186,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $971,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Stars | 63c | 119,044$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,043.74 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Rangers | 37c | 105,587$39,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,428.91 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Rangers | 38c | 94,324$35,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,798.14 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d32…9dfcbacked Stars | 62c | 85,000$52,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Rangers | 38c | 60,000$22,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,800 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Rangers | 39c | 60,000$23,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,399.98 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Rangers | 39c | 56,327$21,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,967.65 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Rangers | 37c | 55,000$20,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,350 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Stars | 61c | 54,460$33,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,239.4 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Rangers | 40c | 32,907$13,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,147.12 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Stars | 62c | 32,540$20,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,365.29 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Stars | 63c | 31,905$20,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,900.15 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Stars | 62c | 29,650$18,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,411.38 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Stars | 63c | 25,466$16,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,372.64 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 60c | 23,690$14,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,502.95 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Stars | 61c | 18,622$11,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,279.7 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Stars | 61c | 17,164$10,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,610.98 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 61c | 13,829$8,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,382.99 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Stars | 61c | 13,301$8,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,187.28 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Stars | 60c | 13,241$7,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,249.97 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Stars | 61c | 10,328$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,027.87 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 62c | 9,753$6,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,740.69 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers | 36c | 9,567$3,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,443.98 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Rangers | 29c | 9,344$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.88 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Stars | 64c | 8,502$5,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.05 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 64c | 8,259$5,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.91 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Rangers | 36c | 8,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.91 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 61c | 6,116$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.97 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Rangers | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Stars | 60c | 5,035$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.94 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Rangers | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Stars | 60c | 4,391$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.23 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Stars | 60c | 4,299$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.73 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Stars | 60c | 4,298$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.54 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Rangers | 34c | 4,187$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.47 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Stars | 65c | 4,118$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.5 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Stars | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Stars | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Stars | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Rangers | 36c | 3,525$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.17 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Stars | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Stars | 66c | 3,364$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.06 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Stars | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.81 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 63c | 3,125$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.41 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed Stars | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Rangers | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.98 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Stars | 64c | 2,970$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.3 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Rangers | 38c | 2,801$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.34 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Stars | 69c | 2,768$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.83 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Rangers | 37c | 2,738$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Stars | 62c | 2,629$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.03 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Rangers | 34c | 2,570$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.82 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Rangers | 28c | 2,546$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.66 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Stars | 60c | 2,525$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.29 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Stars | 65c | 2,508$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.44 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Rangers | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Stars | 61c | 2,356$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.06 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Stars | 65c | 2,277$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.26 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Stars | 63c | 2,253$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.62 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Stars | 61c | 2,119$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.2 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 64c | 2,107$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.24 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e1c5backed Rangers | 38c | 2,030$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.87 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Stars | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rangers | 44c | 1,993$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.65 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Stars | 61c | 1,804$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.56 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Rangers | 38c | 1,785$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.13 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Stars | 70c | 1,780$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.89 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Rangers | 37c | 1,724$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.54 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 67c | 1,714$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.3 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1561…2028backed Rangers | 36c | 1,700$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Rangers | 35c | 1,655$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.34 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Stars | 62c | 1,568$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.84 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Stars | 64c | 1,510$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…6092backed Rangers | 36c | 1,510$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Stars | 73c | 1,461$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.63 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stars | 62c | 1,452$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.63 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Stars | 60c | 1,433$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.5 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Rangers | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Stars | 59c | 1,261$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Stars | 62c | 1,234$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.08 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Stars | 64c | 1,230$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.95 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Stars | 61c | 1,227$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.58 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Stars | 56c | 1,207$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.18 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Stars | 63c | 1,190$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.68 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Stars | 64c | 1,172$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.88 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Stars | 60c | 1,111$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.85 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Rangers | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.98 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…b115backed Stars | 62c | 1,074$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.19 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Rangers | 35c | 1,032$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.14 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stars | 79c | 1,019$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.12 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…e9d6backed Stars | 61c | 1,018$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Rangers | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Stars | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Rangers | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf139…1d3bbacked Stars | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…9bd9backed Rangers | 35c | 947$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.45 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Stars | 61c | 899.96$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.98 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa3…60b9backed Stars | 63c | 872.86$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Stars | 61c | 861$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.79 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Stars | 62c | 852.23$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.85 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Starsthis page
- Rangers vs. Stars: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rangers vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rangers vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Under won
- Rangers vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Rangers vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.