NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e3bd7330c34acb812fe34f6f3309d92c63f11a7725c16d0b6e32e60966e0380
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Stars | 40c | 1,535$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.2 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Stars | 40c | 998.01$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.81 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Rangers | 60c | 976$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.6 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Rangers | 58c | 700.07$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.04 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Stars | 42c | 574.52$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.22 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Rangers | 58c | 404.45$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Rangers | 69c | 330.48$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.67 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…76b4backed Stars | 45c | 319.48$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.39 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Stars | 38c | 304.1$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.93 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Stars | 72c | 198.47$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Rangers | 60c | 195.2$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.12 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rangers | 53c | 194.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rangers | 68c | 152.78$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Stars | 40c | 152.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 39c | 151.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Rangers | 17c | 147$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Stars | 30c | 113$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Rangers | 57c | 111.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Rangers | 61c | 97.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Rangers | 58c | 90.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Stars | 40c | 88.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Rangers | 60c | 82.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…8b87backed Stars | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Rangers | 58c | 72.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Rangers | 60c | 71.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Rangers | 60c | 65.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Rangers | 60c | 56.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rangers | 59c | 51.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Rangers | 60c | 50.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Rangers | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd827…fe79backed Stars | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Stars | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Stars | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stars | 39c | 43.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stars | 65c | 38.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Rangers | 58c | 35.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Stars | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Rangers | 60c | 34.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Stars | 41c | 33.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Rangers | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7729…12b9backed Stars | 47c | 32.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Stars | 40c | 29.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Rangers | 60c | 22.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rangers | 58c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rangers | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Rangers | 59c | 17.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Rangers vs. StarsStars won
- Rangers vs. Stars: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rangers vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Under won
- Rangers vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Under won
- Rangers vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Rangers vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.