TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe46d…8b87

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT6550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia: Matteo Berrettini vs Taro Danielbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Shymkent 2: Antoine Ghibaudo vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Antoine Ghibaudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Tallahassee: Tyler Zink vs Mitchell Kruegerbacked Tyler Zink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.92
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+281%+$38.09
Busan: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.46
Santa Cruz: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Federico Coriabacked Federico Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Daria Kasatkina vs Ann Libacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
Barcelona Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jack Draperbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.44
BMW Open, Qualification: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Sumit Nagalbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.62
Mexico City: Stefano Napolitano vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
Campinas: Lautaro Midon vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Madrid: Joel Schwaerzler vs Toby Samuelbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.74
Monza: Martin Landaluce vs Marco Cecchinatobacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$33.09
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonsecabacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.73
Mexico City: Beibit Zhukayev vs Corentin Denollybacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.62
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Sarasota: Duje Ajdukovic vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Madrid: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Madrid: Francesca Jones vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.08
Francisco Cerundolo vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.41
Monza: Dusan Lajovic vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.36
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT4146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$12
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.64
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.47
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.36
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$40.94
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.82
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.07
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$68.98
Houston Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.93
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.42
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.75
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.47
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.48
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$41.71
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.76
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.25
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Spread: Blues (-1.5)backed Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.5
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Penguins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.84
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$43.38
Canucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.72
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.25
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.97
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.13
Sabres vs. Kingsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$12.03
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.32
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.