TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Madrid: Francesca Jones vs Elina Avanesyan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Elina Avanesyanof Francesca Jones, Elina Avanesyan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,883
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,690

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,883 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Francesca Jones3c4,658$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.578,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Francesca Jones20c4,357$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.18,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Francesca Jones23c3,283$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.096,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Francesca Jones1c2,949$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.646,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Francesca Jones19c1,221$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.451,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Francesca Jones13c993.53$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Francesca Jones32c957.82$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.2650731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Elina Avanesyan55c947.97$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.5997745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Francesca Jones31c674.18$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.097,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Francesca Jones45c641.09$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.491,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Francesca Jones43c449.21$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1610454.8%57 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Elina Avanesyan70c428.62$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6741658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Elina Avanesyan69c424.22$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5137153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Elina Avanesyan64c345.86$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5176853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Elina Avanesyan65c340.75$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.261,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Elina Avanesyan65c340.75$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2685348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Elina Avanesyan65c340.75$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2648453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Elina Avanesyan65c314.53$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.623758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Francesca Jones43c296.87$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.991,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Elina Avanesyan57c270.53$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0660856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Francesca Jones40c265.96$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.059,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95d3…b2aebacked Francesca Jones20c238$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.63545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Elina Avanesyan73c231.23$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0329652.4%155 W · 141 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Elina Avanesyan73c231.23$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0339955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Elina Avanesyan74c228.97$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7148652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0cc…275cbacked Francesca Jones22c216.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.667732.5%25 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Francesca Jones21c214.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.082,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Elina Avanesyan76c212.78$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.084,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Francesca Jones16c204.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7918548.6%90 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Francesca Jones45c195.55$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8885250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x410c…d091backed Elina Avanesyan80c158.05$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.614443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Elina Avanesyan65c150.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7230555.4%169 W · 136 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Francesca Jones9c124.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.771,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e4…f926backed Francesca Jones18c122.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.326033.3%20 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Elina Avanesyan64c107.62$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.741,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed Francesca Jones45c102.37$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0730853.6%165 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Elina Avanesyan55c101.76$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.293,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Elina Avanesyan56c101.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.771,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Elina Avanesyan77c101.06$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.036,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Francesca Jones13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd123…8494backed Francesca Jones23c91.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.985036%18 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Elina Avanesyan55c77.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3529649.7%147 W · 149 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Elina Avanesyan64c76.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5210160.4%61 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Francesca Jones45c73.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9438754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Francesca Jones19c70.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.529339.8%37 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Francesca Jones21c68.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2910044%44 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed2…9e47backed Elina Avanesyan80c67.93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.592176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Elina Avanesyan59c67.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9117656.3%99 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a49…dc1fbacked Francesca Jones45c64.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Francesca Jones17c60.77$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.052,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2fe…09c9backed Francesca Jones45c59.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6922049.5%109 W · 111 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe46d…8b87backed Elina Avanesyan55c53.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.086550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Francesca Jones43c53.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.857,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x150c…add3backed Elina Avanesyan57c51.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2220670.4%145 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5001…e597backed Elina Avanesyan55c50.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.782147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaeb…a557backed Elina Avanesyan78c50.35$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.874269%29 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Francesca Jones43c49.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2136135.7%129 W · 232 L-35.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Elina Avanesyan56c48.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.422864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+37.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Elina Avanesyan64c45.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5129851%152 W · 146 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Francesca Jones44c43.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3326759.6%159 W · 108 L-1.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd52…07aabacked Francesca Jones44c43.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3316762.9%105 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa426…540dbacked Francesca Jones25c43.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.95834.5%20 W · 38 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Elina Avanesyan65c37.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1823444.9%105 W · 129 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Elina Avanesyan65c37.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.187345.2%33 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c01…59a0backed Elina Avanesyan65c37.65$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.185246.2%24 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f7a…2488backed Elina Avanesyan79c36.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.678968.5%61 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Francesca Jones45c36.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.368350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb97…1d51backed Elina Avanesyan55c35.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.922065%13 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Francesca Jones44c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.44,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332c…e8babacked Elina Avanesyan57c34.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.134100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed Elina Avanesyan56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Elina Avanesyan57c33.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.492,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22fa…1c93backed Francesca Jones45c32.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Elina Avanesyan63c31.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4939039.5%154 W · 236 L-46.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3353…5ab2backed Francesca Jones45c30.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.582941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b59…7d0cbacked Elina Avanesyan57c29.06$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Elina Avanesyan70c26.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.938068.8%55 W · 25 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x877c…e669backed Elina Avanesyan56c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5622963.3%145 W · 84 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc187…7ac1backed Elina Avanesyan60c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.215261.2%93 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Elina Avanesyan56c22.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0650845.9%233 W · 275 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Elina Avanesyan75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1fc…7cc1backed Elina Avanesyan75c19.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.93452.9%18 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc1c…2bf2backed Elina Avanesyan69c19.63$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.089464.9%61 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.