TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95d3…b2ae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Daniel Dutra da Silvabacked Daniel Dutra da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Beibit Zhukayevbacked Beibit Zhukayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Madrid: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+256.1%+$80.61
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Shuai Zhangbacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.38
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Casper Ruudbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.36
Madrid: Francesca Jones vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+159%+$55.36
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Zizou Bergsbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.35
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.61
Bucharest Open: Nuno Borges vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.38
Grand Prix Hassan II: Corentin Moutet vs Taha Baadibacked Taha Baadi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.19
Bucharest Open: Elmer Moeller vs Mariano Navonebacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.04
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+438.6%+$122.29
Grand Prix Hassan II: Marco Trungelliti vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.58
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.01
Credit One Charleston Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Belinda Bencicbacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.48
Copa Colsanitas: Emiliana Arango vs Maria Lourdes Carlebacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$13.9
Copa Colsanitas: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Sofia Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.27
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Pedro Martinezbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.22
Copa Colsanitas: Camila Osorio vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$50.62
Credit One Charleston Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$18.99
Grand Prix Hassan II: Timofey Skatov vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.23
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.95
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Filip Jianubacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$33.78
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+86.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.45
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+125.4%+$19.39
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.64
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+152.2%+$66.03
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$36.95
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$382.94
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.44
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+202.1%+$155.35
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.26
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+90%+$93.53
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$71.04
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$50.67
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.53
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$184.85
All 5 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$31.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Mirandés vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.