MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79ec663f19ff57039a7437ef09e11462d81c86d54ac0beb0d1d39561425c9d08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $411,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $424,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 98,488$46,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,289.59 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 65,269$29,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,903.81 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 40,713$21,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,727.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 37,215$19,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,490.92 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 20,000$10,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,349.94 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 19,549$10,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,680.62 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 19,356$9,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,782.39 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 18,521$10,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,773.78 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 12,868$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,759.82 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 7,661$4,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.4 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 7,293$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.78 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 6,612$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.07 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…4a2cbacked Texas Rangers | 62c | 6,268$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 6,221$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.53 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 5,420$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.36 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 4,572$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.37 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.85 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 4,147$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.15 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 3,917$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 3,685$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 3,663$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.55 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.49 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 3,153$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.63 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,852$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.23 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 2,789$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.03 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 2,350$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.13 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 2,227$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.44 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 2,185$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.12 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 2,156$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 2,042$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 2,011$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.58 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 2,000$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.67 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 1,977$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.27 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.49 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,810$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.28 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,685$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.75 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,636$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.91 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,551$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,475$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.4 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,449$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.35 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 1,425$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.25 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Texas Rangers | 58c | 1,363$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.01 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,348$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.54 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 1,316$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,110$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.05 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,102$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.06 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,090$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.24 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,041$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.18 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 1,040$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.35 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…c9dabacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 999.94$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.97 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 987.15$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.22 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 981.82$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.09 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 968.99$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.3 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 966.94$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.99 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 950.52$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.86 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Texas Rangers | 76c | 911.63$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.86 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 815.44$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.52 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…cec6backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 791.52$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 778.88$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.71 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 760.87$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.66 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…0230backed Texas Rangers | 79c | 749.92$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.48 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 731.07$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.33 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 696$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.99 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Texas Rangers | 63c | 679.05$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.7 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4513…5a38backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 642.71$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 631.44$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.78 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 618$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.46 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 608.62$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.97 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Texas Rangers | 61c | 600.87$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.7 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 592.44$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.65 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 589.11$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.1 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 583.44$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.38 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 581.26$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 561.2$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.98 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Texas Rangers | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 515$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 499.84$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.53 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 486.04$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.44 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 473.8$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.69 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 473.28$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.71 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…a5dfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 471$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.37 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 470$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 458.72$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…a617backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 432.16$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Texas Rangers | 62c | 424.61$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 403.37$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Texas Rangers | 62c | 397.5$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.83 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 388.75$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.32 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 361.45$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.52 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 357.41$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 356.08$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- NRFI: Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.