TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xedf0…1e2a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
334
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: College Football, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT14940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 149 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$488
Jets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,280
Sabres vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,160
Sharks vs. Ducksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,200
Predators vs. Ducksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$2,899.94
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,026
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,040
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,300
Avalanche vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,520
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$3,660
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$3,480
Maple Leafs vs. Kingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,640
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,800
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,800
Canadiens vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,200
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,050
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanesbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
Blues vs. Kingsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,936
Showing 25 of 149 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST5749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$370
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,350
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,050
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,248Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,152
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+316.7%+$2,280
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$2,150
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$2,800
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,346Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$2,254
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$2,600
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$3,500
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$676Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+92.3%+$624
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$4,700
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$702
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$600
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,467Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+89.4%+$3,993.82
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$2,500
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,649Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$4,648.64
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$3,920
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$611
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.2%+$3,014.86
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+100%+$650
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+69.5%+$4,100
Hornets vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$5,099.99
Bucks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$4,700
Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,200
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,541Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$759
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$943Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$943.46
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,207.41
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$8,550
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,870Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$4,130
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,094.39
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,920
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,016
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$5,500
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,899Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,898.53
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,343.81
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,820
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,080
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,580
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,680
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$4,480
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,290
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,399.99
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,840
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,600
Kansas City Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,360
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,040
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$2,957.39
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$324.68
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST2740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$8,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$4,550
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,180
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$5,400
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18,290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12,710
Rams vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$2,114
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$67.55
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$4,000
Patriots vs. Jets: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+92.3%+$960
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+112.8%+$5,300
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$5,200
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$64.36
Spread: Ravens (-2.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,226.13
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$7,420
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,751Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$1,750.66
Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.41
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$7,600
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+97.8%+$7,927.64
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$4,286.49
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$5,600
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+96.1%+$4,899.98
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$7,539.99
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$4,200
Bengals vs. Bills: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,060Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$2,940
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$347.54
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,635Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$805.07
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,746.05
Spread: Houston Cougars (-3.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,299.97
Alcorn State Braves vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+92.3%+$176.05
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-7.5)backed USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$563.91
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,288.64
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Northern Colorado Bears: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$928Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$856.5
Evansville Aces vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 153.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+93%+$1,433.3
Murray State Racers vs. Illinois State Redbirdsbacked Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,239Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+78.6%+$1,759.13
Spread: VCU Rams (-6.5)backed George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,319.99
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-14.5)backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,621Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+97.4%+$1,578.94
Spread: Washington Huskies (-8.5)backed Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,756Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,755.69
Drexel Dragons vs. Monmouth Hawks: O/U 129.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$673.26
Spread: BYU Cougars (-12.5)backed BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$5,296.25
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Virginia Tech Hokies: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$416
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. William & Mary Tribe: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,248
Duquesne Dukes vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Duquesne Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+108.6%+$1,301.81
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+122.2%+$68.75
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,520Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+98.9%+$3,480
Louisville Cardinals vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$808Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$634.47
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Wright State Raidersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,025Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$1,869.16
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$2,450
UAB Blazers vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+100%+$10,000
All 22 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$115.2
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$5,600
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$5,200
Spread: Georgia Southern (-9.5)backed Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,560Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$2,459.8
North Texas vs. San Diego State: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$561
Miami (OH) vs. Western Michiganbacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$4,700
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$6,600
Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,047Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$4,751.56
New Mexico State vs. UTEPbacked New Mexico State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+156.4%+$6,100
Miami (OH) vs. Buffalobacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,750Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$2,250
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,216.98
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,400
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.95
All 4 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$318
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$350
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$152.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.