NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fce89fd918ce3c00ea18b6a8e705105ea5e44144e99070b2f16d045516f771d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Over | 53c | 28,198$14,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,817.21 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 23,161$11,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,101.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.97 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.33 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…c824backed Over | 48c | 8,294$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,981.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…5cd1backed Over | 48c | 7,011$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,365.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…c67fbacked Over | 48c | 6,993$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,356.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab37…d4e5backed Over | 48c | 6,969$3,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8641…66a9backed Over | 48c | 6,878$3,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…3e81backed Over | 47c | 6,735$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…cd08backed Over | 47c | 6,633$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…f230backed Over | 47c | 6,262$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0de…4ba6backed Over | 47c | 6,215$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7001…9911backed Over | 48c | 6,114$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc2…fd70backed Over | 48c | 6,022$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7a…ef07backed Over | 48c | 6,002$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 4,968$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 55c | 4,196$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.8 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb109…04debacked Under | 52c | 3,881$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…564bbacked Under | 53c | 3,789$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…172ebacked Under | 52c | 3,727$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…5342backed Under | 53c | 3,698$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…cc4bbacked Under | 52c | 3,688$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2493…faefbacked Under | 52c | 3,636$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500d…560cbacked Under | 52c | 3,515$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…779ebacked Under | 52c | 3,456$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f5…21e2backed Under | 52c | 3,454$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4d…8324backed Under | 52c | 3,444$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…4834backed Under | 52c | 3,362$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…80febacked Under | 52c | 3,306$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…0cdebacked Under | 52c | 3,299$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…6fc2backed Over | 47c | 3,268$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…3235backed Under | 53c | 3,264$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…d6bfbacked Under | 52c | 3,223$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…e392backed Under | 53c | 3,203$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2a…6079backed Under | 52c | 3,178$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 54c | 3,143$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.14 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 3,138$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.18 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fe…b5cebacked Under | 52c | 3,114$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…d066backed Under | 53c | 3,114$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 50c | 3,023$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.37 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x967a…42cbbacked Under | 53c | 3,022$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 50c | 3,021$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.6 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 50c | 3,021$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.6 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9d…f092backed Under | 53c | 3,017$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472d…5e89backed Under | 53c | 3,015$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d6…b0e6backed Over | 47c | 3,015$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…e1c2backed Under | 53c | 3,004$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca5…d245backed Under | 52c | 3,002$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef1…65a7backed Under | 52c | 2,998$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…2649backed Under | 53c | 2,998$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x651e…7b3dbacked Over | 48c | 2,878$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 55c | 2,676$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.62 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…ad76backed Under | 53c | 2,583$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…f182backed Under | 53c | 2,574$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…1011backed Over | 47c | 2,574$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da1…6572backed Under | 52c | 2,574$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a6…a8a0backed Under | 53c | 2,568$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236e…6e88backed Under | 53c | 2,563$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3903…7729backed Under | 53c | 2,563$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…cbc7backed Over | 47c | 2,563$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…892cbacked Under | 52c | 2,563$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0170…8945backed Over | 48c | 2,557$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2618…01dcbacked Under | 53c | 2,552$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090e…e9f3backed Over | 47c | 2,551$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c73…3e90backed Over | 48c | 2,547$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…9cc2backed Under | 53c | 2,545$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273f…94d8backed Over | 48c | 2,543$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…2723backed Over | 47c | 2,542$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb369…c0c7backed Under | 52c | 2,542$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…153bbacked Over | 48c | 2,542$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe412…92c8backed Under | 53c | 2,542$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…16acbacked Over | 47c | 2,542$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fc…b168backed Under | 53c | 2,541$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…0ce8backed Under | 53c | 2,536$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…bc49backed Over | 48c | 2,535$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf6…7012backed Over | 47c | 2,534$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eed…9c7fbacked Under | 52c | 2,534$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e6…d2bfbacked Under | 52c | 2,534$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6e…02e3backed Under | 53c | 2,534$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…349abacked Under | 53c | 2,534$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…84fabacked Over | 48c | 2,534$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…9e40backed Over | 48c | 2,534$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c27…4ce7backed Under | 53c | 2,533$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3997…4d22backed Under | 52c | 2,533$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b2…f35abacked Over | 47c | 2,530$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x895f…c7a8backed Over | 48c | 2,525$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf7…f643backed Under | 53c | 2,524$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a8…d64fbacked Over | 47c | 2,523$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…369bbacked Over | 48c | 2,521$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…8713backed Under | 52c | 2,521$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e9…e609backed Under | 53c | 2,513$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73be…6786backed Under | 52c | 2,512$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…c0f1backed Under | 53c | 2,503$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…773fbacked Over | 48c | 2,366$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 54c | 2,350$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 2,350$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.99 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…58d8backed Over | 47c | 2,052$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. TimberwolvesWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.