NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8a16ed8e4accab380fd49568b03319fadd0cc6fda721c9f7438faf38df199da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 48,370$23,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,993.85 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 51c | 40,000$20,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 24,639$12,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,314.17 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 9,053$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,391.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Under | 53c | 5,038$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.53 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…922cbacked Under | 50c | 4,460$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 4,002$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 52c | 3,947$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.91 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 44c | 3,712$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.3 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 50c | 3,237$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 50c | 2,598$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.83 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 2,361$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.12 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 52c | 2,290$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.2 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,946$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.13 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Under | 52c | 1,823$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.08 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 50c | 1,705$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.27 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 47c | 1,704$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.42 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,312$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.33 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 52c | 1,155$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.31 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…5b73backed Under | 65c | 1,107$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 50c | 1,012$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.19 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 51c | 962.55$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.39 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 900$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.14 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 38c | 790.67$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.24 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 737.25$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 657.81$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.99 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 607.01$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 594$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.16 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 515$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.61 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 51c | 511.83$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.91 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 457.7$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.22 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Over | 51c | 389.71$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 46c | 348$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.08 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 45c | 292$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.6 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 51c | 241.85$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.87 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 50c | 241.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…baf6backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Under | 69c | 184.35$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 49c | 176.65$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 51c | 123$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Under | 53c | 121.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 121.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 57c | 109.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…1965backed Under | 54c | 101.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Over | 50c | 100.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…7011backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…abc3backed Over | 51c | 98.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Under | 52c | 95.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…4375backed Under | 57c | 87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 51c | 60.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 50c | 54.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Under | 53c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 50.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 44c | 49.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…9a42backed Over | 49c | 47.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b5…5f24backed Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Over | 47c | 41.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa20…7ec5backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x082f…b13bbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 50c | 34.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd326…3da7backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…49f0backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2522…c593backed Over | 50c | 29.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…79c9backed Under | 55c | 27.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Over | 51c | 26.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…c3dbbacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d85…eca1backed Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 52c | 24.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Over | 47c | 23.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…a396backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.5wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. TimberwolvesWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.