TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,511
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,511 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c48,370$23,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,993.852,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under51c40,000$20,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,80051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under50c24,639$12,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,314.172,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.9977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c9,053$4,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,391.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Under53c5,038$2,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.5318536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5005749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9798…922cbacked Under50c4,460$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+49.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c4,002$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0011,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Over52c3,947$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,046.9113239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over44c3,712$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.33,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under50c3,237$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62635942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under50c2,598$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.8342648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under49c2,361$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.121,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under52c2,290$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.271547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c1,946$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over49c1,837$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.131,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Under52c1,823$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.088348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over50c1,705$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.2735747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Under47c1,704$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.4224846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Over50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80014346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under49c1,312$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.332,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under52c1,155$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.3171449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d37…5b73backed Under65c1,107$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.552045%9 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under50c1,012$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.1911945.4%54 W · 65 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under51c962.55$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.392,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c900$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.143,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over38c790.67$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.243,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over51c737.25$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37621247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c657.81$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.992,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c607.01$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under49c594$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.161,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c515$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.616,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under51c511.83$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.9118438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over47c457.7$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.223,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042825%7 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Over51c389.71$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.758744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over46c348$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0832051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020651%105 W · 101 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under45c292$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.61,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over51c241.85$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8792750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over50c241.81$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9553043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9659144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9641052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10218650%93 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x418d…baf6backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+57.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Under69c184.35$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6525056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over49c176.65$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.251,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over51c123$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7341048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Under53c121.81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2510644.3%47 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c121.21$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.612,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over51c117.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6076250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Under57c109.61$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1313354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee82…1965backed Under54c101.74$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.746665.2%43 W · 23 L+10.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf26b…f3b8backed Over50c100.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010426.9%28 W · 76 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4916547.3%78 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5380744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5037352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ceb…7011backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9798…abc3backed Over51c98.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Under52c95.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.283548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f9…4375backed Under57c87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.417057.1%40 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.442551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.441354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Under47c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7516549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over51c60.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6921948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over50c54.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2262844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Under53c50.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.944946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c50.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.214,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2449351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over44c49.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9283039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27ce…9a42backed Over49c47.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30b5…5f24backed Over50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Over47c41.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4127548.7%134 W · 141 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa20…7ec5backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x082f…b13bbacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under50c34.74$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3745651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd326…3da7backed Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-44.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38bb…49f0backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2522…c593backed Over50c29.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.092725.9%7 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-46.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe8ce…79c9backed Under55c27.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.493941%16 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe008…8ff5backed Over51c26.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.414250%21 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x954b…c3dbbacked Under57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.322846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d85…eca1backed Over50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under52c24.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.661,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Over47c23.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8910553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Under50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121051.4%108 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc498…a396backed Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7146…8d4cbacked Over51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.5wins-0.37per pick50cpaid-74.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.