TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea93…d9bd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2825%7 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$205.8
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$182.58
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$189.45
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+74.8%+$342.3
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$223.6
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$202.4
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$429.99
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$238
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+101.9%+$271.37
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$130.14
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$204
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+163.6%+$310.35
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+185.7%+$325
Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$252.85
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$291.4
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$119
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$193.13
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+100%+$181.11
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$124.62
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61.3%+$125.4
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$284.84
Red Wings vs. Jetsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$285
Kings vs. Bluesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$181.72
Canadiens vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$187.23
Rangers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$224.11
Golden Knights vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$201.6
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$312
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Islanders vs. Wildbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+138.1%+$174
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$151.2
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Ducks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$99
Kraken vs. Flames: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$98.98
Golden Knights vs. Blackhawksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Avalanche vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$200
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1H Spread: Rams (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$196
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$260
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$118.78
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+89.5%+$425
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+96.1%+$196
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Texans vs. Steelers: 1H Moneylinebacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$231
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$315.01
Spread: Packers (-4.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$28.2
Spread: Rams (-6.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$190
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$201.6
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Dolphins vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$324
Spread: Broncos (-14.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$288
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$236
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52
FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$184
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Getafe CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$198
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$554.76
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+114.3%+$243.09
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$228.15
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+63.9%+$50.7
Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17.94
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$112.1
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$67.11
UD Las Palmas vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.12
Getafe CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+150.8%+$204.45
Getafe CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+130.3%+$130.28
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+138.2%+$446.19
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$156
SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$368
Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.2%+$223.99
AS Roma vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40.2
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$129
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$239.4
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$116
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+90.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+122.2%+$156.24
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+255.9%+$129.39
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$164.28
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$75
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+26.3%+$166.56
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+244.8%+$142
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$141
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+170.3%+$189
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+108.3%+$104
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$311.67
Swansea City AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$46.75
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+170.3%+$189
Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$153
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+138.6%+$132.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$89.3
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-45.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+100%+$300
Furman Paladins vs. UNCG Spartansbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$111.6
Spread: Indiana Hoosiers (-6.5)backed Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+78.6%+$158.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$190
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$212
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$108
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virtus Bologna vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$111.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NEC vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$191.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$156
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$250.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.