Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9333d8b927a13e61b5da2a762b7370a89ce168e24fc5d1c3e09fb7603fa44420
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 46c | 104,610$48,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,641.83 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 47c | 82,845$39,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 53c | 33,583$17,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,845.04 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Over | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 53c | 24,574$13,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,549.67 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 19,880$10,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,343.6 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 53c | 12,222$6,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,744.34 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 11,904$6,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,556.41 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 54c | 7,502$4,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450.87 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 54c | 7,028$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.5 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 48c | 6,136$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 5,998$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.02 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 55c | 5,289$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.96 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 52c | 4,238$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 1,895$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.89 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 45c | 1,545$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 47c | 1,347$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 47c | 1,048$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.7 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 873.4$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.5 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Over | 79c | 801$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 54c | 800$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 53c | 743$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.21 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 55c | 549.96$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.48 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 55c | 540$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 54c | 420$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 54c | 420$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over | 53c | 399.94$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.97 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 47c | 389$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.83 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 40c | 251.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.03 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 52c | 248.7$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22b9…6ae2backed Over | 60c | 166.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over | 55c | 140.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 53c | 136.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 43c | 134.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 57c | 119.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 109.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over | 56c | 108.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 56c | 102.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Under | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Over | 53c | 98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 54c | 94.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 55c | 83.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Under won
- 1. FC Köln vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.