TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdbd2…e8e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
230
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST5050%25 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Elias Ymer vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+59.4%+$14.65
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$21
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13
Hobart International: Antonia Ruzic vs Olga Danilovicbacked Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100.8%+$39.51
Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Taylah Prestonbacked Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+50.9%+$29.41
ASB Classic: Luciano Darderi vs Marcos Gironbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+222.6%+$47.45
ASB Classic: Hamad Medjedovic vs Jakub Mensikbacked Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Australian Open Men's: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Lukas Kleinbacked Klein · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
ASB Classic: Jenson Brooksby vs Sebastian Baezbacked Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$56.8
Adelaide International: Mirra Andreeva vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$48.52
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Adelaide International: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Adelaide International: Liudmila Samsonova vs Marketa Vondrousovabacked Vondrousova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+39.1%+$21.67
Adelaide International: Kimberly Birrell vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$17.26
Hobart International: Peyton Stearns vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
ASB Classic: Mariano Navone vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$25.01
Australian Open Women's: Storm Hunter vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+94.1%+$20.39
Adelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$59.98
Australian Open Women's: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Kayla Crossbacked Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+37%+$5.95
Hobart International: Emiliana Arango vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Adelaide International: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+50.1%+$23.95
ASB Classic: Emilio Nava vs Sebastian Baezbacked Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Australian Open Men's: Oliver Crawford vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.54
Australian Open Women's: Alice Rame vs Jazmin Ortenzibacked Ortenzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+123.1%+$22.47
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST3357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Players vs MAGICOS (BO3)backed Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.52
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group Cbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+38.1%+$20.62
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25.43
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.59
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MINLATE (BO3)backed ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+29.1%+$6.01
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC (BO3)backed MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Passion UA (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs MASONIC (BO3)backed MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$37.12
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$54.71
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs ALGO Esports (BO3)backed ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+39.4%+$14.05
Counter-Strike: illwill vs MASONIC (BO3)backed illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+32.7%+$17.25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+28.2%+$8.46
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+104.4%+$37.89
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+75.5%+$45.31
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MASONIC (BO3)backed MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+59.4%+$35.59
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 Winnerbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$39.23
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT (BO3)backed HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$13.97
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Washington (BO3)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+88.3%+$118.87
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST3333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29.57
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+194.1%+$51.42
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+138.1%+$25.52
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$27.72
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.36
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$45.58
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50.03
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24.56
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+62.4%+$39.2
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+46.3%+$13.74
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+147.1%+$115.22
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$48.3
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$78.13
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$28.92
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$46.38
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$117.57
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+28.8%+$8.96
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+63.6%+$10.8
76ers vs. Magicbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+97.1%+$43.44
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+143.9%+$52.54
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25.43
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST2619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33%+$9.24
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+360.9%+$119.23
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$33.63
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+496.5%+$148.95
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$42.15
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.47
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$35.55
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.83
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.79
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21.03
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+87%+$104.36
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Liverpool FC vs. Barnsley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+40.3%+$11.3
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$71.1
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$176.65
Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+233.3%+$57.5
Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51.21
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.06
Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$21.86
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wrexham AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$32.51
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.31
AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+79.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$58.7
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+72.7%+$23.83
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$31.76
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+200.7%+$80.36
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.69
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.35
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+628.4%+$74.51
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+156.4%+$16.02
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20.32
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+59.7%+$37.32
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.72
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$32.59
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$11.95
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Cameroon vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.93
Cameroon vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$24.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.1
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+37.5%+$5.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$45.26
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.