TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$249,521
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$292,633

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,521 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes38c34,587$13,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,358.591,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c31,807$18,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,113.636,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c23,297$14,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,367.242,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes38c15,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,299.969845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes37c14,999$5,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,449.6918948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes38c13,114$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,114.432748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes39c12,604$4,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,738.1325648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No30c12,228$3,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,645.3456453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c11,999$5,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,865.134,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No62c8,001$4,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,922.821,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed No64c7,019$4,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,492.092552%13 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes45c6,999$3,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,859.4219729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yes63c6,014$3,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,201.472850%14 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe137…0c01backed Yes37c5,409$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,409.364438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes39c5,135$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.6417234.3%59 W · 113 L+0.5wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.9925752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No62c4,658$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.61,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No39c4,400$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.964052.5%21 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+50.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked No62c4,000$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.984748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No13c3,717$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.851,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae17…b10dbacked Yes38c3,200$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.111338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes74c3,014$2,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.221,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.9720646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No58c2,882$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.9710051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No23c2,200$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No34c2,108$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.6842043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed No11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c1,971$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.752,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No63c1,878$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.41,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6636…bf37backed No11c1,825$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.771520%3 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Yes63c1,802$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.254643.5%20 W · 26 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No63c1,722$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.7979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No37c1,597$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.9814138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b84…de18backed Yes66c1,558$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.221758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes50c1,402$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.2924146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x266b…8da2backed No38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.793452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes59c1,202$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.936462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe161…4ebfbacked No12c1,111$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6207147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed No35c890$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.396048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed No63c842.96$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.076147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked No62c771.1$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.792429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-54.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed No37c750$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.52548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No75c750$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.569772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No42c745.19$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.9896645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes37c650$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.59646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked No62c543.79$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.14944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x674d…912cbacked Yes36c538.89$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.891546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No31c537.42$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9329041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No32c527.12$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.846325.4%16 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf81…80cebacked Yes38c523$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.26966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+62.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes37c518.22$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.666841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No20c482.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2477336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No64c469.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3121839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes37c405.41$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.417241.7%30 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24436956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2488349.4%41 W · 42 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed No25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes38c392.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.717843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed Yes37c392.41$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.221369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4859…0bb1backed Yes38c390.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.912520%5 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…2fd6backed Yes37c378.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Yes70c348.44$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes37c345$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.1130143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.872737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No64c323.49$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7113447%63 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes39c308.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.166838.2%26 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No63c305.05$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1821056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc579…21cdbacked Yes38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1863935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c42…a2bdbacked Yes37c299.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.991910.5%2 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-71.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked No37c287.41$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.341827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes38c280$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.627752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes39c276.92$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.926845.6%31 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No32c272.27$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5373258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6955…f54bbacked Yes37c267.57$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.571540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+54.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Yes38c264$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.684660.9%28 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88be…2272backed Yes38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2623…e65abacked Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No62c252.01$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9733753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.913841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No38c243.12$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8757744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No63c242$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4614342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes44c240.38$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0718251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes60c240$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes36c238.56$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8317327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes38c210.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.532759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No61c210$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.165557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No61c210$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.160557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No61c210$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.137557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2419632.7%64 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12623325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes38c197.37$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.377343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a7…613abacked Yes36c185$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.43243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes39c169.96$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6811234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes66c166.18$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.514043.6%61 W · 79 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No36c165.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No61c165$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6537554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.