TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2fe…f0fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.95
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$133.96
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+40.6%+$63.14
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$300.96
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$116.67
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+128.4%+$274.41
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+170.3%+$170.27
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+40%+$103.62
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+28.3%+$70.64
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+122.4%+$94.93
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$177.82
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$107.69
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+84.8%+$805.53
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+60.2%+$300.86
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$7,234.98
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+41.8%+$209.16
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$702.28
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)backed Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37.8%+$642.13
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3129%9 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-57.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.13
Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
World Cup: Total Tournament Goals O/U 264.5 backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.73
Will Ghana be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$18.5
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Will Iran be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will DR Congo be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.17
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Will Curaçao be the worst-placed Central American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.33
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$11.94
Will Senegal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$14.2
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Germany leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+34%+$47.65
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.8
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$97.49
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$13.76
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$15.4
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-58.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+104.1%+$70.91
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$12.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$59.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: F9 EICAR vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonbacked F9 EICAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+84%+$72.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+46.4%+$92.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.