TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, EYEBALLERS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$245,602

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,695 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz79c11,725$9,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,462.3476058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked EYEBALLERS1c11,276$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7613315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed EYEBALLERS21c9,973$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.2657358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked EYEBALLERS26c7,869$2,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.921,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed EYEBALLERS26c7,716$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.387047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed EYEBALLERS27c6,558$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked TheMongolz75c5,537$4,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.773,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe705…f910backed EYEBALLERS20c4,793$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.523751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked EYEBALLERS27c4,614$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.091,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked EYEBALLERS27c4,367$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.51,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked EYEBALLERS3c3,706$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.189538.9%37 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed EYEBALLERS20c3,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70016152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked TheMongolz71c2,976$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.851,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked TheMongolz80c2,815$2,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.9741069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked EYEBALLERS33c2,480$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.541,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed EYEBALLERS17c2,083$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.116,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed EYEBALLERS17c1,948$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.2849646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked TheMongolz77c1,918$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.579258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed TheMongolz75c1,500$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37033452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed TheMongolz80c1,323$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.6713453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc37a…4767backed EYEBALLERS1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed EYEBALLERS20c992.37$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4764552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed TheMongolz69c867.36$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.5911546.1%53 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed EYEBALLERS12c816.57$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.715544.5%69 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed TheMongolz76c766.8$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4334156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked EYEBALLERS16c733.36$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.292,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5593…2cd1backed TheMongolz77c721.2$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.459256.5%52 W · 40 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked TheMongolz80c623.13$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6345162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed EYEBALLERS21c615.2$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1936554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked TheMongolz80c566.12$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2227658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked EYEBALLERS15c516.69$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8627740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed EYEBALLERS19c499.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9550947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked EYEBALLERS10c480.16$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.11,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed EYEBALLERS21c476.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0211651.7%60 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86ca…540cbacked EYEBALLERS20c446.56$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.91030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ce…100fbacked TheMongolz80c438.28$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.669753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked EYEBALLERS20c434.94$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.282,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x707e…a614backed TheMongolz75c419.28$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8212138%46 W · 75 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked TheMongolz74c400.73$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.852250%11 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed EYEBALLERS27c354.67$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6254439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed EYEBALLERS27c354.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6214443.1%62 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed TheMongolz70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9036837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…3f5fbacked TheMongolz65c293.7$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7923653.4%126 W · 110 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed EYEBALLERS4c292.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.691,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed TheMongolz70c291.89$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1924544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked TheMongolz70c291.89$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1912352.8%65 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked EYEBALLERS20c278.49$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4221737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06ff…8d60backed EYEBALLERS13c263.73$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed EYEBALLERS19c259.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2657322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked EYEBALLERS13c258.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.123,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed TheMongolz75c254.16$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.015,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb580…17b8backed TheMongolz80c247$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed TheMongolz80c247$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.411166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked EYEBALLERS14c220.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8984037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed TheMongolz69c206.88$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.788350.6%42 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cf3…1eabbacked TheMongolz75c206.16$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8224841.1%102 W · 146 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed TheMongolz79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4229465.3%192 W · 102 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1698…68e8backed TheMongolz70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6011470.2%80 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked TheMongolz80c197.6$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5231852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked TheMongolz69c196.91$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed TheMongolz68c161.62$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7221351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed TheMongolz68c161.62$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.728552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed TheMongolz68c161.62$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.725466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1bf…45bdbacked TheMongolz70c158.4$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.52683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed TheMongolz73c157.61$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5542845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fe…f0fbbacked EYEBALLERS7c153.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.273554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed EYEBALLERS23c149.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.22,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed TheMongolz77c149.4$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8839258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed EYEBALLERS9c142.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1417444.3%77 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd067…9b9abacked TheMongolz78c133.59$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9645663.6%290 W · 166 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked TheMongolz72c130.27$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.489058.9%53 W · 37 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed EYEBALLERS33c127.86$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1855950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked TheMongolz80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.723056.1%129 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a61…c855backed TheMongolz80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.71258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked EYEBALLERS28c122.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7310945%49 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6236…1df8backed EYEBALLERS20c120.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.821030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-59.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed EYEBALLERS23c115.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.782,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9fc8…f527backed EYEBALLERS24c111.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6248826.2%128 W · 360 L-44.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfeea…748abacked TheMongolz78c110.59$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed TheMongolz80c110.27$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2860838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb52e…cdcebacked TheMongolz68c107.91$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.539152.7%48 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed EYEBALLERS30c105.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6456732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3600…f72bbacked TheMongolz75c105.07$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2731950.5%161 W · 158 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed EYEBALLERS20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208625.6%22 W · 64 L-13.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-41.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed TheMongolz65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3541645.9%191 W · 225 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f7…7714backed TheMongolz75c98.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6219048.9%93 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbff…e8e7backed TheMongolz71c96.88$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.09666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+117%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed EYEBALLERS22c95.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9763541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5c…9edabacked TheMongolz76c93.31$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.346071.7%43 W · 17 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad46…df49backed EYEBALLERS27c92.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.869631.3%30 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed TheMongolz79c92.02$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3229350.2%147 W · 146 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked EYEBALLERS16c90.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.495,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0950…a26dbacked EYEBALLERS23c89.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.699138.5%35 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6117…2fafbacked EYEBALLERS30c86.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.879856.1%55 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed TheMongolz75c76.36$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9910133.7%34 W · 67 L-14.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-42.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x90aa…9b07backed TheMongolz75c71.69$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.751764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x697e…c4dfbacked TheMongolz80c69.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8326862.3%167 W · 101 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf48e…428fbacked TheMongolz74c66.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2911147.7%53 W · 58 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed TheMongolz67c66.34$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.995156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fd…8002backed TheMongolz80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.513950.4%70 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.