TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x959f…9e2f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
264
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10352.4%54 W · 49 L-10.0wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,017.41
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.17
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.07
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.6
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$869Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+71%+$616.69
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,036Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$345.43
LoL: Team WE vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.67
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$982
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$213.83
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,791Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,791.11
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$99.42
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$83.5
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$283.5
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.34
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.56
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.72
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.4
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,398Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,398
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,974.54
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,381Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$953.87
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$957.83
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$200.27
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.68
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,410Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,755.86
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,428Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$1,676.22
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT9258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.61
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$984Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$983.74
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,461Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,348.41
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$195.2
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$222.3
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.65
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$92.31
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+89%+$259.44
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,479Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$438.57
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$446.06
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$482.37
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.89
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.11
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$559.33
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,406Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$1,067.78
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,933
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$462
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$254
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$187.33
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.9
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$498
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.28
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$388
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.51
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$355
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+145.4%+$726.83
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.81
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$624.81
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$400.45
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$196.58
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+270.6%+$270.56
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.24
Valorant: JD Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+116.1%+$149.39
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$56.78
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 3 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$266.72
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$427.57
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$521.22
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.15
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$377.49
Valorant: All Gamers vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+35.7%+$233.8
Valorant: BBL Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+45.1%+$631
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming - Map 3 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$216.76
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$112.82
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$144.13
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$246.27
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$39.05
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$565.86
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$939Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$306.84
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$358.26
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$932Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$932
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$456
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.55
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$277.39
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.07
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$164.17
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$269.86
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$453.35
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$439.43
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,135.88
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$1,111.86
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$301.09
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$182.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+90%+$41.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.