Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc09f91e3c5f7babbd2492fbde00d0272a6d8369f5bab5d47f7b9936d2806b71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f8d…a19bbacked Under | 71c | 11,025$7,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Under | 78c | 6,215$4,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.36 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 6c | 5,202$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.07 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 51c | 4,877$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.42 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Over | 59c | 4,470$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.09 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 3,386$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.92 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 21c | 3,115$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.64 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 19c | 2,232$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.91 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 2,100$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.44 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bb…bd91backed Over | 58c | 1,763$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 75c | 1,501$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.8 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 30c | 1,331$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.3 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 23c | 1,309$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 70c | 1,250$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Over | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Over | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 78c | 999.94$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.95 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 28c | 850$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 25c | 849.47$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.45 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Over | 42c | 845.24$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 25c | 709.32$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 72c | 700$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Over | 30c | 685.27$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.58 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…bc1dbacked Under | 76c | 659$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 29c | 626.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1b…6cc0backed Under | 79c | 572.97$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 24c | 546.54$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.37 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 34c | 516.66$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 76c | 486.6$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.7 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Over | 53c | 478.91$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.22 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 73c | 475.71$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.23 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 73c | 475.71$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.23 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 73c | 462.67$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.45 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Over | 49c | 455$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 63c | 445.99$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.21 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 413.03$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.22 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 24c | 364.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99f…0d86backed Over | 5c | 351.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 66c | 326.68$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 80c | 321.29$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Under | 32c | 311.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.08 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 62c | 311$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.53 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…f549backed Under | 77c | 309.05$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 31c | 283.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed Under | 77c | 258.59$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 24c | 241.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 22c | 231.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.82 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 77c | 212.41$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 16c | 201.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.7 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…6c91backed Under | 48c | 200.49$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…e85bbacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 15c | 195.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.81 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 75c | 192$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 63c | 173.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 23c | 173.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.59 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…8d4cbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 32c | 167.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e1…8720backed Under | 77c | 166.26$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Over | 72c | 153.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Over | 41c | 148.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed Under | 50c | 146.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Over | 30c | 146.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…9fe3backed Over | 70c | 141.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 73c | 139.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 23c | 137.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Over | 67c | 135$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 80c | 132.45$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed Over | 23c | 129.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 53c | 126.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…7f3fbacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 79c | 125.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 110.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Under | 78c | 109$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 16c | 109$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 41c | 107.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 79c | 106.33$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…ae53backed Over | 63c | 104.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Over | 32c | 99.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa111…3f22backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…87b5backed Under | 63c | 75.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 66c | 70.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Over | 66c | 69.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 18c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 80c | 62.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 71c | 62.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 34c | 58.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 50c | 57.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Under | 38c | 57.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.