TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x219a…a647

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
340
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13372.9%97 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 133 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+495.2%+$495.24
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$903.75
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$50.94
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$92.92
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$33.64
World Cup Goals H2H: Mbappe vs. Kanebacked Mbappe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$58.33
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$73.3
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$337.06
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Will the announcers say "Bench" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.6
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.8
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$16.8
Will the announcers say "USA" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$17.72
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$16
Showing 25 of 133 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6363.5%40 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$49.47
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$52.86
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$48.33
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$24
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.46
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$25.06
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.83
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2972.4%21 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$95.53
Will IF Brommapojkarna win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Randers FC win on 2026-07-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$62.57
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$54.48
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$34.53
Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-07-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Djurgardens IF to score first vs. Halmstads BK?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Livingston FC win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$23.75
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will PSV win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$208.75
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$440.98
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will Livingston FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40.37
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$19.88
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$18.15
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$51.36
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.72
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$91.36
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$98.92
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$80.46
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$31.83
Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$28.41
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$65.83
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$21.89
Will Henan FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT2572%18 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$25.57
Will FC Thun win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$35.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$35.53
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$101.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.13
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$37.11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$35.32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.7%+$31.67
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$105.42
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+69%+$75.92
All 25 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$102.97
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.49
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$26.51
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$19.79
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.72
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.02
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 22 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick74cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$30.32
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$40.91
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick75cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Will Ilves Tampere vs. HNK Rijeka end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tobyl FK vs. FK Panevėžys: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$35.4
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+34.3%+$72.03
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick74cpaid-72.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$28.27
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $164 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$31.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oeiras 2: Viktoriya Tomova vs En-Shuo Liangbacked Liang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.