Premier League · resolved market
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b452f52d0d000a2c8ffe882313453654e86847969184511930fd4adb47238b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 13c | 3,961$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.57 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 23c | 2,888$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 76c | 1,836$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,663$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.09 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…e87cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed No | 67c | 1,412$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.98 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,379$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…d8b9backed No | 71c | 1,358$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 19c | 1,343$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.58 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…f71cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,221$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a90…4964backed Yes | 25c | 1,108$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…3c6ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,031$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 6c | 998.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes | 13c | 962$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 80c | 958.4$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.96 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 20c | 947.47$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.49 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 40c | 878.26$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.46 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 775$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 74c | 707.07$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.12 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 77c | 701.83$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.13 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 26c | 627.82$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 79c | 626.02$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6c…5048backed No | 80c | 625.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked No | 67c | 623$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 33c | 623$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6b…b341backed Yes | 13c | 619$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…a280backed Yes | 30c | 616.04$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 76c | 605.28$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed Yes | 29c | 565$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 15c | 557.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.87 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 24c | 551.9$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…d8d0backed No | 79c | 538.15$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…779fbacked No | 64c | 535.46$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 72c | 533.07$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af6…296ebacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed No | 74c | 471.19$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…83ebbacked Yes | 17c | 460.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 17c | 441.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf6…078abacked Yes | 45c | 432.61$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed Yes | 13c | 432$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 13c | 424.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…3dd4backed No | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3489…7fffbacked No | 78c | 400$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 394.95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 78c | 392.22$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dc…aefabacked Yes | 26c | 351.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…7259backed No | 58c | 322$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f97…66b5backed Yes | 25c | 315.18$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf1…98cbbacked No | 68c | 300$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa234…f7ebbacked Yes | 36c | 299.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…5462backed No | 69c | 296.14$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 12c | 291.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c38…291fbacked Yes | 18c | 277$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed Yes | 13c | 271$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 22c | 262.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 257.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2d…1b72backed No | 79c | 241.85$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 232.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Yes | 16c | 231.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 61c | 220$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…cbb8backed No | 79c | 211.97$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 25c | 210.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed Yes | 13c | 205$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc9…3e5cbacked Yes | 31c | 204$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae1…7a4dbacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 76c | 198.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 30c | 191.49$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 58c | 186.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…6f56backed No | 57c | 174.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked No | 62c | 170.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 25c | 148.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Yes | 29c | 141.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…7dcfbacked No | 76c | 141$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 135.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 71c | 135.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…6580backed Yes | 24c | 134.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6cc4backed No | 74c | 129$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…b788backed Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8301…6a7fbacked Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906d…cfdbbacked No | 61c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 26c | 108.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…ad88backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…9adabacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…e808backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…19c2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…0326backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…de9fbacked Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33b…ad69backed Yes | 30c | 98.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed Yes | 12c | 93.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…de64backed Yes | 22c | 90.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c40…37aabacked No | 73c | 89.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +97%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?this page
- Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Kieran McKenna be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Laurent Blanc be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Luis Enrique be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?Yes won
- Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Thomas Tuchel be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Xabi Alonso be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
- Will Xavi be appointed as manager of Manchester United?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.