TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0eb…6d57

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
295
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 60 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10258.8%60 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.03
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+120.5%+$69.52
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$942Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$469.98
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$593.64
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.27
Newcastle United FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$71.4
Will Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Alexander Isak: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$3.8
Will David Raya be the goalkeeper with the most clean sheets in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Will Chelsea qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$70.59
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.92
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$69.33
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$40.66
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+187.2%+$54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$11.64
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT4862.5%30 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will m0NESY attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$138
Will João Neves win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$212.03
World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarezbacked Alvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$92.99
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$192
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$215.99
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$48.26
Will Che Adams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will the announcers say "Assist" during the Brazil vs Haiti FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.5
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$24.48
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$623.08
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$50.71
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$69.23
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$53.99
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$401.03
Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.88
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$28
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$75.98
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT3435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.1
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.99
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.06
Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$37.65
Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.78
RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$27.24
Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+355.5%+$84.7
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+129%+$64.87
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.44
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$17.22
Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.01
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$56.87
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+61.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$352.6
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+212.5%+$476
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+99.1%+$547.5
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$102
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+277.4%+$201.29
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$43.8
Moonbirds FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+91.6%+$143.4
Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+25.7%+$92
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+35.1%+$36.4
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,093
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$196.47
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$32.5
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+488.2%+$166
VOOI FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25.78
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$883.56
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,367Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+71.1%+$971.21
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,923Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,922.88
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.69
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.19
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Pisa SC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.06
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+228.8%+$42.75
Udinese Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$43.11
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$18.82
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.04
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$16.49
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+213.4%+$40.94
Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Atalanta BC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.65
AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.39
All 18 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+52.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$23.4
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$56.59
1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.99
SV Werder Bremen vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+128.1%+$63.04
1. FC Union Berlin vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.89
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.15
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+662.9%+$125.68
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.32
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$43.96
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-63.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.05
Will Ye be dropped as Wireless Headliner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$243.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.