Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Malmö FF win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x065a61c1866c6c49eb365b99d88eaaa1df0f3641d2b39d0552f4499bf6e5494d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 14c | 2,729$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.7 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,110$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 78c | 995$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.9 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 9c | 918$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 10c | 589$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 14c | 563.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 16c | 413.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 5c | 377.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 23c | 374.87$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…118bbacked No | 79c | 332.43$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 9c | 309.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 9c | 302.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 9c | 299$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 14c | 295.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 9c | 249.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 11c | 212.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 22c | 188.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…e5a9backed Yes | 22c | 181.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 22c | 165.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 9c | 159.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 149.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed No | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 13c | 100.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3902…43f8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b01…e682backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…b7cdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0550…b207backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01f…574ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…06b8backed Yes | 19c | 67.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…4121backed No | 78c | 54.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 77c | 38.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 16.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malmö FF win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will KRC Genk vs. Malmö FF end in a draw?No won
- Will KRC Genk win on 2026-01-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.