TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb01f…574e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
363
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11618.1%21 W · 95 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 116 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.41
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+341.5%+$2,509.34
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.18
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,108.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+900%+$180
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+223.1%+$699.3
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,685.01
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+215%+$73.09
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.88
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.3
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.87
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.4
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Showing 25 of 116 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10312.6%13 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-44.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.62
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.07
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$41.32
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.33
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$58.35
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$111.98
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.36
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+96.9%+$197.71
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$23.4
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+326.7%+$315.4
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$62.5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+127.5%+$57.38
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$41.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.1
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT8920.2%18 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick11cpaid-14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,953Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,952.64
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,085.97
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,638.9
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.27
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.01
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$12.12
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.15
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+103.6%+$51.81
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+2,026.1%+$5,570
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+334.8%+$1,540
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$126.33
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+203%+$335
Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$41.1
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.62
Will the US next strike Iran on March 9, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will the US next strike Iran on March 8, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.49
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.19
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kings vs. 76ersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+44.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-65.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$205.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+41%+$126.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC København win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: OXEN vs Farenvehn (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagebacked OXEN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.