TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,935

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,894 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xad94…85b1backed No54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,799.992128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No0c17,232$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.234348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes48c8,958$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,658.331952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5791…a476backed Yes50c8,078$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,078.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes47c6,514$3,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,477.0252550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f91…c21fbacked Yes48c6,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes46c5,878$2,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,183.8387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes47c5,365$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,821.7662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes77c5,174$3,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.964266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1505040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes65c4,907$3,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.3771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0748…a31ebacked Yes48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick24cpaid-83.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes57c3,946$2,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.2337638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No52c3,691$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.493756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No52c3,333$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.941942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No54c3,005$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5606648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6203910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No21c2,710$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56448649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed No53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No52c2,362$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.9131049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No53c2,222$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.6612738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No27c2,043$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.821,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.993537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed No55c1,971$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.31366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No53c1,799$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.9324044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes47c1,618$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.714337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8322642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bdc…b5e9backed No16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No52c1,200$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6284940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No28c1,119$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.461637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504131.7%13 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No51c999.92$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.963748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf56a…fe7cbacked No52c935.83$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.731145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No19c916.25$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.351,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Yes49c915.45$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.893053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes69c809$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.9724642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No49c599.84$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.4233938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…34fabacked No53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Yes45c523$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.659355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No51c507.78$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9735157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e9…7b20backed Yes49c504.63$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed No52c499.98$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.99520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-73%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes46c487.41$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.2426845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No52c430$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.65060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.537227.8%20 W · 52 L-10.8wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Yes49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed No6c338.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.87333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15910838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No53c274.3$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.642962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f3e…380cbacked No39c255.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5780…8c92backed Yes45c253.59$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.59825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes47c245.57$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.153129%9 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No26c243.58$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.891127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes46c240$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.62642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes48c237.48$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9214045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes46c237.15$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.173647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes47c234.01$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0223250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes59c229.02$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4526660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked No53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.394238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.399145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No50c205.26$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.633240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c6a…b518backed Yes50c200.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.331020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed No52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007231.9%23 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aed…641bbacked No13c176.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d97…a92dbacked Yes65c172.31$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes47c170$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.122927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes46c159.58$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.144362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cb…2087backed Yes47c159.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.571070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30a6…4bd3backed Yes47c153.19$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.191764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes66c151.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.655366%35 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked No53c139.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7440%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.431915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No52c130$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.66836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd0a…8223backed No54c120.02$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes61c120$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.63148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.23557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No52c114.28$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4326550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked No53c110$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.31741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed No55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x514f…ee49backed Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03bc…530cbacked No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc2…b834backed Yes46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb01f…574ebacked No16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked No13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134734%16 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca5…08f1backed No56c98.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed No17c92.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.82454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bf…231fbacked Yes47c92.07$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.982846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb6c…1bfabacked Yes45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Yes47c86.34$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.