TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6df1…ea12

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
192
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Movies at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4949%24 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,916.35
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$7,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,974.99
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,743Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$1,257
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.99
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,731Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+190.4%+$3,295.43
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.16
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,332
Kylian Mbappé: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,879Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,878.79
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,094.62
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,300
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,001.83
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,699.98
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$4,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,150
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.6
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$186.67
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,439.97
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,319.99
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$3,150
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,921.57
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,450
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,485Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,015
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,050
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,079.97
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+60%+$1,206.11
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,074.56
Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$367.4
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,715
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,447Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,447.39
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,159.99
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,770Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,229.99
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,590
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+150%+$1,875
Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,030Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+93.2%+$1,891.96
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,679.99
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+138.1%+$2,319.89
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$2,160
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,575Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$925
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,330.19
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$1,691.49
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,525Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$975
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.6%+$1,569.62
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+47.1%+$959.95
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,000
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,210
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,345Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.5%+$3,247.22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,149.97
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,249.99
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,603.62
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,299.99
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,698Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$6,801.3
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,249.99
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$662.99
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,730Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+168.1%+$6,270
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+400%+$6,000
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,272Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+125.4%+$4,101.65
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,344Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+700%+$16,405.59
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,974Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,973.89
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,294.99
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$531.65
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+65.4%+$3,360
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Luis Javier Suarez: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$16
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$89.55
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,044Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$1,956.18
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,740Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,260
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,649.78
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,715Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,785
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,620
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+59.3%+$889.01
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,220
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,750
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,318Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+145.2%+$1,914.09
SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,199.99
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,480
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,739.99
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,440
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$431.71
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+39.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$777
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$7,031Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$4,041.29
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$1,312.17
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,063Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+155%+$1,647.88
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,950
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.23
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,660Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$2,339.99
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$2,061.02
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,601Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,601.38
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,245
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+565.7%+$1,131.35
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+30%+$30.04
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$987.79
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,620
Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,590
Ferencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,609.99
Crystal Palace FC vs. AEK Lárnakas: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,109.97
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)backed Crystal Palace FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$807.69
Olympique Lyonnais vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,439Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+34.2%+$1,177.08
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+90.8%+$181.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-56.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+106.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+175.6%+$4,459.98
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+38.2%+$161.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+225.9%+$677.8
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,590
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+270.4%+$3,379.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,949.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+157.6%+$4,975.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$8,112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33%+$2,679.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,449.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.