Fifa International · resolved market
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3b9ac6f43d878b96c1e6819fe45858920b4ab3d61fdf104ceb78c9813787698
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,688,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,639,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,688,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,743 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1c5…cbd0backed Under | 49c | 4,051,650$2,000,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051,161 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Over | 51c | 904,590$457,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457,850.49 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 50c | 600,000$300,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300,000 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 489,144$249,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249,339.74 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Over | 51c | 394,210$201,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201,047.17 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 361,253$176,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175,999.56 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Over | 51c | 316,642$161,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,487.67 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…e4d0backed Under | 46c | 229,202$106,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122,921.8 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 50c | 165,000$82,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 50c | 125,000$62,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,500 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 50c | 123,332$61,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,355.03 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Over | 50c | 113,943$57,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,056.82 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked Over | 50c | 89,815$44,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,912.74 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 33c | 88,871$29,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,632.95 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 20c | 84,721$16,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,839.99 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 51c | 76,548$38,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,956.12 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Over | 50c | 75,000$37,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,500 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 48c | 72,000$34,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,625.78 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 45c | 62,629$28,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,118.23 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Over | 51c | 61,250$31,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,237.5 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 54c | 58,395$31,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,533.3 | 208 | 44.7%93 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580d…eb6dbacked Over | 50c | 54,639$27,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,319.49 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…fec8backed Over | 50c | 50,750$25,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,375 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Under | 51c | 47,980$24,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,693.16 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Under | 47c | 47,000$22,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,909.83 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…23febacked Under | 51c | 44,355$22,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,733.83 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 43,774$22,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,142.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 51c | 41,453$21,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,141.03 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Under | 49c | 40,816$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,816.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 51c | 39,572$20,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,190.67 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Under | 49c | 38,134$18,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,497.72 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 35,514$18,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,099.94 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Under | 49c | 35,022$17,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,821.44 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 30,358$12,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,150.1 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 51c | 29,382$14,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,870.61 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…308abacked Under | 45c | 28,393$12,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,616.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 52c | 25,681$13,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,239.83 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 50c | 24,900$12,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,450 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed Under | 49c | 23,244$11,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,852.08 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…ae1dbacked Over | 13c | 23,077$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Over | 51c | 22,250$11,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,347.5 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc15b…38afbacked Over | 51c | 21,675$11,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,054.37 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…3ab4backed Over | 51c | 20,958$10,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,698.16 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 51c | 20,221$10,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,267.16 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Over | 52c | 20,091$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 52c | 19,401$10,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,312.24 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Under | 53c | 18,812$9,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,869.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 53c | 18,785$9,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,955.89 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a2…353abacked Over | 50c | 18,300$9,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,150 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…1b74backed Over | 52c | 18,000$9,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,360 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 52c | 16,536$8,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,533.32 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 56c | 16,310$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,159.7 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Under | 68c | 15,828$10,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,121.91 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Over | 52c | 14,823$7,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,708.04 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 45c | 14,636$6,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,513.37 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f0…7ad4backed Over | 49c | 14,490$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 51c | 13,086$6,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,673.85 | 239 | 42.3%101 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 50c | 12,878$6,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,496.14 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…104bbacked Over | 51c | 12,547$6,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Over | 51c | 12,474$6,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,361.74 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -10.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 25c | 12,243$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.07 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 50c | 11,078$5,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,539.08 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…aaa9backed Under | 50c | 10,472$5,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,234.87 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 43c | 10,174$4,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,784.14 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under | 47c | 10,164$4,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,342.18 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.2 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…af5fbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.92 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Over | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…37f9backed Over | 14c | 9,695$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.64 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Under | 48c | 9,225$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,836.82 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Under | 48c | 9,043$4,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,721.27 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 8,950$4,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,566.97 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…5442backed Over | 51c | 8,842$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,489.56 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 52c | 8,400$4,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,368 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under | 48c | 8,030$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,175.23 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…55b7backed Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…a96fbacked Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 50c | 7,033$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.02 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Over | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Over | 46c | 6,988$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.81 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Over | 52c | 6,933$3,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,605.05 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 51c | 6,862$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.62 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb622…e399backed Over | 49c | 6,698$3,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca1…678fbacked Over | 53c | 6,649$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,524.01 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 51c | 6,626$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,380.27 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Over | 53c | 6,442$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,414.09 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Over | 52c | 6,405$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.84 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 51c | 6,351$3,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257.08 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Under | 48c | 6,347$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.41 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Under | 48c | 6,303$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,281.77 | 474 | 42.8%203 W · 271 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…34a2backed Over | 47c | 6,260$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 51c | 6,053$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.71 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.01 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5this page
- Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Japan (-3.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Japan (-4.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Japan won
- Spread: Sweden (-3.5)Japan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.