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Fifa International · resolved market

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$362,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$391,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,990 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under15c71,098$11,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,007.252,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under31c68,006$21,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,213.2125038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over79c33,058$26,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,894.644,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under1c17,500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17541331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under11c14,064$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.8936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under6c11,417$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.0113234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under12c10,112$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.364431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under17c5,806$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98711149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over66c4,308$2,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.1234964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under13c3,082$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under3c2,400$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7211216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under11c2,370$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.274,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under18c2,266$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.8644130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under32c2,064$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.0138948.8%190 W · 199 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over72c2,048$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.5727655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc89f…695bbacked Under18c2,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under1c1,912$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1217534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under21c1,898$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39923440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Under3c1,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459912.1%12 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…6207backed Under22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303435.3%12 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a37…6c95backed Under18c1,409$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over72c1,371$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.7619939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under29c1,271$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.564446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under7c1,200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9724136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Under17c1,176$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Under31c1,048$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.824050%20 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Under17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1706258.1%36 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under7c999.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Over78c999.32$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.8510471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ed…3363backed Under10c973.37$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.64422.7%10 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under2c966.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1646012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9e…5b1bbacked Under6c959.69$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5860%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Under31c801.96$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.6115418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Under32c772.78$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4223449.1%115 W · 119 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under7c755.59$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8995037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over74c720.44$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1904,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked Under29c699$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.714841.7%20 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004233.3%14 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x002f…92f3backed Over75c662.97$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.982176.2%16 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick74cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a66…dcc2backed Over80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1257244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over77c623.38$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.389573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x88b3…3d44backed Under3c600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1813813%18 W · 120 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over68c596.06$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.241,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…d0ecbacked Over76c595.34$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3416927.8%47 W · 122 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under20c580$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11625942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under19c566.28$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.661,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaba…cf38backed Over69c539.83$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.126647%31 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Under19c526.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009535.8%34 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Over66c504$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3618929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe702…1c29backed Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over77c496$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0863544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under27c480$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.646445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Over78c450$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9817040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over78c449.99$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.51,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under33c383.49$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9714238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Over68c361.12$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.118843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under32c348.78$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6125049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Under29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010340.8%42 W · 61 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over69c341.81$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6190840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under17c341.69$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.191,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Under6c329.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf599…f8aabacked Over78c321.67$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.471729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10215763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over68c300$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.587237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111721.4%25 W · 92 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over74c283.71$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.581,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16d7…1c40backed Over78c250$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.55232.7%17 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc67c…5047backed Under22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012529.6%37 W · 88 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under32c216.19$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1829740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6b…3e58backed Under7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510911%12 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3320447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee3…01abbacked Under7c208.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.588140.7%33 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6012249.2%60 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under18c193.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.612,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f45…97cebacked Over75c188.63$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.16922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick55cpaid-69.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under7c187.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1356541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under29c186.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5451429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under7c177.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.172,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x069c…3d49backed Under29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+40.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Under29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012144.6%54 W · 67 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4884…237cbacked Under15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510055%55 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under30c166.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e3…e5b3backed Under31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012643.7%55 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Over67c148.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2610946.8%51 W · 58 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x305e…b28bbacked Under24c145.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526133.3%87 W · 174 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e5e…b4afbacked Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under30c144.03$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2115151%77 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…cf54backed Over79c137.18$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.491764.7%11 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe34a…f5f0backed Over79c136.85$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.749848%47 W · 51 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe477…2881backed Over72c136.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.322572%18 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87cb…643abacked Under9c128.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7220942.6%89 W · 120 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Under28c125.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3732317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked Over72c122$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7525741.6%107 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c7b…bd59backed Over68c120$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3922147.1%104 W · 117 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c4…1378backed Under9c117$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.532737%10 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.