TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,305 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x58b3…653cbacked Over15c13,300$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9958617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over7c3,632$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.41,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over14c3,500$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4909126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over14c3,500$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49014433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over7c3,341$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.8716325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over16c3,333$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2819037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over15c3,306$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.91,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over16c3,214$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4508858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over15c2,840$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over9c2,300$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.631,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over14c2,047$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.2938333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over14c2,012$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.6714612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over11c1,656$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.412,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over16c1,597$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.4952744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over15c1,538$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.672,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Over15c1,500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22515147%71 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over14c1,385$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.432,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e2…1d4dbacked Over15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-69.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over14c1,183$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.657034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over15c1,077$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5543826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17013046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9d…01d7backed Over14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over15c999.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018051.1%92 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a92…dc69backed Over15c999.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.998032.5%26 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over8c951.87$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2749441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over6c841.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.632,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…6049backed Over15c833.33$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12511316.8%19 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over16c773.13$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.712140.5%49 W · 72 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Over15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022449.1%110 W · 114 L+20.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcda7…d089backed Over15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100348.8%3 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-52.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1859…a421backed Over16c600$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.97837.2%29 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over7c600$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3937237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd2…93ddbacked Over17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over7c500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Over15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7513641.9%57 W · 79 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Over15c438.78$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8232046.6%149 W · 171 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Over14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025115.5%39 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb69d…7678backed Over14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012138.8%47 W · 74 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3344…cabcbacked Over14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-68.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Over14c355.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8122135.3%78 W · 143 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over15c335$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.252,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ecc…3ed9backed Over15c289.27$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.392540%10 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Over17c288.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920154.7%110 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd9…3dadbacked Over14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3272…e542backed Over15c260$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395536.4%20 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa45d…93f1backed Over14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352536%9 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…a02dbacked Over13c225.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025737%95 W · 162 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa43…10c0backed Over14c207.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Over17c206.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3517738.4%68 W · 109 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over14c205.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7268141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72e0…08eebacked Over15c196.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4126243.1%113 W · 149 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5087…2d85backed Over15c191$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.651020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf69e…9f8dbacked Over18c172$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.963745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+10.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e6b…3e58backed Over15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510911%12 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x517a…eb45backed Over15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25825%2 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+368.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1212…2571backed Over14c164.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.972814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-51.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over15c151.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.123345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over15c150$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.59919.2%19 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over22c150$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.541,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc4a…8a13backed Over17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Over14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8277…dce0backed Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023633.9%80 W · 156 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf219…76bbbacked Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204820.8%10 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb7…5923backed Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-55.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x779c…b96fbacked Over17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012322%27 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d14…9b29backed Over15c113.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over13c108.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.423940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked Over14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526720.6%55 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1582340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf011…dc57backed Over14c106.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.964117.1%7 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-59.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1448147.8%230 W · 251 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a21…e859backed Over17c99.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1725735%90 W · 167 L-1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f29…4048backed Over14c80$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.23426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-51.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Over16c63.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018343.7%80 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba6e…bc14backed Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108640.7%35 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb32a…5d9ebacked Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103915.4%6 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f0…197fbacked Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101942.1%8 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+39.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under79c42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8257541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under79c12.77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.6846445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.